NFL · resolved market
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9783dd4589653abefb1c6fe2fae1ad6fb26c6ae77296dff87eeb60a31d4839ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 6,027$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 46c | 1,254$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.19 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 60c | 1,175$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.44 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 47c | 997.03$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…4ac4backed No | 66c | 995.07$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 67c | 885$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.95 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 34c | 792$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 55c | 759.92$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.46 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked No | 22c | 508$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 480$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.32 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 74c | 466.15$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 48c | 445.01$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 66c | 370$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 63c | 355.08$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 48c | 330.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 66c | 303$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 41c | 297.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 9c | 296$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…fcb8backed Yes | 65c | 295.42$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 56c | 279$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 78c | 279$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 51c | 272.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Yes | 42c | 237.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 78c | 229$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7185…a5bcbacked No | 58c | 226.53$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 66c | 221$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 34c | 212$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed No | 10c | 210.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…d07cbacked Yes | 53c | 206$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 43c | 192$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…badabacked No | 41c | 184$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 44c | 177$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6a…5ed9backed No | 47c | 166$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d8…7ac3backed No | 47c | 165$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 58c | 155$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…530dbacked No | 47c | 153$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 44c | 149$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 44c | 147$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…fe2bbacked No | 47c | 146$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ca…17dabacked No | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078a…a3a7backed No | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…320fbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…d6e6backed No | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbd…a60abacked No | 11c | 134.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 64c | 132$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b5…edc2backed No | 42c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 34c | 128$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…9037backed No | 42c | 121$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 66c | 119$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 66c | 119$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…6502backed No | 47c | 116$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 41c | 111$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…ba2dbacked Yes | 37c | 110.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…360dbacked No | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 57c | 99.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed No | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…fd96backed Yes | 55c | 86.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8e…f90dbacked No | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…311cbacked Yes | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 47c | 70.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…aaeebacked Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…783ebacked No | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…eab2backed No | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…e2e6backed No | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…09b2backed Yes | 34c | 62.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…ce3cbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf3…ebbfbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…4f1fbacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df8…8bccbacked No | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a30…79cabacked Yes | 53c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a62…5c92backed Yes | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…159dbacked Yes | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922a…ebe9backed No | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a92…82f1backed No | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fd…f63ebacked No | 41c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbb…1d83backed No | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a2acbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…e57bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +96%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…220cbacked Yes | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…b23ebacked No | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f2…86b0backed Yes | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…c7d6backed Yes | 71c | 53.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…b23ebacked No | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…def5backed Yes | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9673…9a34backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd838…d780backed Yes | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…1e48backed Yes | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7154…3e74backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ee…48e8backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…a917backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bears make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Dolphins make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings make the playoffs?No won
- Will the New England Patriots make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Saints make the playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Giants make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders make the playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.