NFL · resolved market
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76d9b1fb30f36c37f8c7548d51eed5153c2a75d33823c117d78b747d5af68e0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 78c | 4,941$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.3 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 43c | 3,706$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.84 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 1c | 3,028$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 58c | 2,835$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.98 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 13c | 1,583$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 31c | 630.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.14 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 61c | 525.56$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.43 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 25c | 400.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7185…a5bcbacked Yes | 60c | 359.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 67c | 350$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 56c | 274.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…58f9backed No | 33c | 253$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 57c | 191.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…28a5backed Yes | 30c | 188$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537b…06dcbacked No | 33c | 183$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…14fdbacked Yes | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 40c | 170.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd409…1aadbacked Yes | 45c | 162$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…d120backed Yes | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…dca0backed Yes | 45c | 147$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…6e47backed Yes | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…a044backed Yes | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 135$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…616dbacked Yes | 45c | 133$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…3aa3backed Yes | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…e44dbacked Yes | 49c | 128$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…21e6backed Yes | 12c | 127.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…328dbacked Yes | 45c | 122$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…13b5backed No | 45c | 121.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6295…3a77backed Yes | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…78b4backed No | 36c | 108$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…7e45backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e10…68babacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…fd45backed Yes | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2e…af4cbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…2a7dbacked Yes | 45c | 87.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f9…c658backed Yes | 67c | 87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfd…bdf4backed Yes | 67c | 87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 66c | 87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 52c | 81.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 22c | 80.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…44b4backed Yes | 67c | 79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…7d41backed No | 33c | 79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…0ba7backed No | 33c | 79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…be36backed Yes | 30c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…3333backed Yes | 63c | 78.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 77c | 73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…e56fbacked Yes | 18c | 71.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…044abacked Yes | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…2118backed Yes | 67c | 71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…072dbacked No | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Yes | 66c | 66.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 20c | 66.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…337bbacked No | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…ee7fbacked No | 70c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…c2b7backed Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…a9fabacked No | 33c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 27c | 64.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 60c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d8…ca7abacked Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…8844backed Yes | 48c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa8…8d89backed Yes | 67c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9990…4c06backed No | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…392dbacked No | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…08e5backed No | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…280cbacked No | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1935…d154backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffed…5079backed No | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…25c1backed No | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…2d9fbacked No | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccd…ced8backed Yes | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d1…7eadbacked Yes | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…df1dbacked No | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…a346backed Yes | 67c | 53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…3bc8backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…9c79backed No | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…b849backed No | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…ce8fbacked No | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…217dbacked No | 34c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc137…9f87backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9763…e32cbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…e0f4backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 49.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…ba87backed No | 33c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf487…98d5backed Yes | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…3811backed No | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…34e0backed No | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ad…48bfbacked No | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 34c | 48.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…cefebacked No | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…b16cbacked No | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…2cafbacked No | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…853ebacked Yes | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…0798backed No | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…3a6dbacked No | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bears make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Dolphins make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings make the playoffs?No won
- Will the New England Patriots make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Saints make the playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Giants make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders make the playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.