CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Acend (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2b8f768b5e01696b3a72c53a47bd99d213d5b5c243c8e6c80b537ba67d1623a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 20,000$12,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,079.92 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Acend | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Acend | 31c | 4,823$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.12 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Acend | 2c | 1,365$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 1,073$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.21 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Acend | 63c | 800.26$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Acend | 60c | 606.74$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.7 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Acend | 38c | 180.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 161.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked Acend | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…f80bbacked Eternal Fire | 78c | 133.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba3…8d20backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Acend | 40c | 101.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Acend | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…36f0backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Acend | 31c | 83.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 61.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 58.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…b4c0backed Acend | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 53.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…1d27backed Acend | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Acend | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 41.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 40.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 40.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 27.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 21.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 21.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 21.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 19.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 17.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Acend (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Acend - Map 1 WinnerAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Acend - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5)Acend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.