TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ba3…8d20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+117.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.8
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.82
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?backed Odd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+900%+$157.28
Counter-Strike: TDK vs ENJOY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.07
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Counter-Strike: hindsight vs megoshort (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+43.5%+$30.3
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Acend (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+70.6%+$55.06
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Acend - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+111.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+125.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
First Blood in Game 1?backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Game Handicap: PR (-1.5)backed Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+130.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40.48
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$23.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$173.23
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$42.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$79.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza be drafted in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.