NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa079af4e7e59dab3a2f3dca22bebc90f9da101f020302cfecb1df63c48cbb77e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HC Dynamo Moscowof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, HC Dynamo Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,184 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 47c | 4,933$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.43 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…621ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 4,150$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…a2fbbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 4,111$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 62c | 1,356$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.43 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 1,150$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…7247backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 67c | 813.52$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 63c | 710$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.1 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 67c | 612.42$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 43c | 585.02$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.26 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 63c | 476.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.17 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…ac47backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 54c | 463.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 52c | 386.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 50c | 260$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 47c | 206.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba3…8d20backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 63c | 116.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…4482backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 63c | 85.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 47c | 83.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 79.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…d9bcbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…5f91backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 75.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 54c | 74.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…364fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 52c | 63.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 67c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 55c | 36.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 45c | 33.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 67c | 31.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 53c | 27.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.