Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. American Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d060cafa3b5128c3c9c7b4dd33ad18b2c2b5081acdd9db4bca639e5284a4191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucknell Bisonof Bucknell Bison, American Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a61…b560backed American Eagles | 67c | 5,633$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.89 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucknell Bison | 35c | 4,828$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bucknell Bison | 33c | 4,060$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.3 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed American Eagles | 66c | 3,720$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.69 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Bucknell Bison | 33c | 2,691$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.14 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked American Eagles | 61c | 2,607$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.14 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed American Eagles | 69c | 2,300$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.23 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucknell Bison | 51c | 1,892$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.35 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bucknell Bison | 25c | 1,095$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked American Eagles | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked American Eagles | 79c | 975.08$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.72 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked American Eagles | 71c | 914.06$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.74 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucknell Bison | 29c | 856.13$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.63 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bucknell Bison | 23c | 844$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.88 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bucknell Bison | 42c | 832.17$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.17 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bucknell Bison | 22c | 679.27$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.83 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed American Eagles | 70c | 600.16$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed American Eagles | 65c | 514.08$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.43 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed American Eagles | 70c | 502.41$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked American Eagles | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked American Eagles | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…51cfbacked American Eagles | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed American Eagles | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked American Eagles | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Bucknell Bison | 28c | 473.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.2 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed American Eagles | 6c | 399.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked American Eagles | 8c | 399.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bucknell Bison | 33c | 372.87$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed American Eagles | 76c | 358$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.55 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed American Eagles | 71c | 342.35$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.78 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Bucknell Bison | 23c | 258.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Bucknell Bison | 40c | 247.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +86%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Bucknell Bison | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed American Eagles | 14c | 199.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed American Eagles | 69c | 197.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed American Eagles | 73c | 166.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed American Eagles | 66c | 146.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed American Eagles | 78c | 128.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…f400backed Bucknell Bison | 42c | 117.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Bucknell Bison | 22c | 111$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed American Eagles | 72c | 103.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba3…8d20backed Bucknell Bison | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed American Eagles | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Bucknell Bison | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed American Eagles | 74c | 83.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed American Eagles | 45c | 68.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a590backed Bucknell Bison | 24c | 67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucknell Bison | 22c | 61.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucknell Bison | 23c | 59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Bucknell Bison | 22c | 57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed American Eagles | 67c | 54.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed American Eagles | 72c | 41.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…abb4backed American Eagles | 75c | 33.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed American Eagles | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked American Eagles | 78c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked American Eagles | 77c | 28.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed American Eagles | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd387…33acbacked American Eagles | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed American Eagles | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…6be5backed American Eagles | 78c | 16.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed American Eagles | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed American Eagles | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.