MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e254894967f9865fa87a2a94bc3c3d44267c0bfccc857afa0a081a5c3133cde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 10,775$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 10,679$5,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073.29 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 5,676$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.59 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 4,778$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.51 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 48c | 4,342$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.2 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 48c | 4,102$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.99 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Over | 49c | 3,332$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.49 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,870$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 66c | 2,506$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.2 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 35c | 2,368$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 2,086$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 52c | 1,985$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 36c | 1,924$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 52c | 1,645$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.72 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 2c | 1,644$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.25 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 40c | 1,302$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.1 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Over | 39c | 1,280$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.16 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 11c | 1,251$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.87 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Under | 63c | 1,095$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.15 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 36c | 1,067$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.74 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 25c | 872.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.04 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 54c | 816$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.36 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 47c | 710.5$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.94 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 600.5$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 33c | 589.35$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.17 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…70e3backed Over | 5c | 567$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 52c | 500.01$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.39 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 4c | 496.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 22c | 465.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 40c | 461.76$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.95 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 36c | 460.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 55c | 447.57$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 46c | 426$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 45c | 420.93$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 35c | 402.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 399.51$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 52c | 376.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 52c | 376.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba3…8d20backed Over | 53c | 353.53$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 52c | 304.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 29c | 261.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 258$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Over | 38c | 254$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 250$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Over | 48c | 136$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 128.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 37c | 122.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 120.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 119.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 41c | 119.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 36c | 116.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 42c | 116.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 74c | 114.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 36c | 112.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 108.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 37c | 106.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…c745backed Over | 43c | 102.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 102.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 99.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 29c | 94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Under | 44c | 91.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…5fcfbacked Under | 53c | 91.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Under | 36c | 90.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Over | 48c | 85.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 61c | 84.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed Under | 65c | 83.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 68.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 54c | 62.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 61.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 62c | 60.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 55c | 60.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Over | 37c | 58.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 51c | 55.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 73c | 54.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Under | 36c | 53.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Under | 36c | 53.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Under | 36c | 53.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Under | 36c | 53.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 51c | 50.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 56c | 48.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.