TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c14,327$6,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,453.5311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over55c10,000$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,509.9944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over57c7,477$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,215.0927254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under43c2,400$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.015,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c2,076$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.274,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c2,000$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.465,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under50c1,982$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.4491252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,952$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.288,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over64c1,903$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.053,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over54c1,618$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.178,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,243$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.6412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c1,205$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.294,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c1,166$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.1210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under44c784$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.962,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc187…775fbacked Under68c660.27$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.8875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under43c577.65$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.58,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over60c573.8$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5219752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under44c562.24$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3825249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over60c484.25$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2540348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under60c468$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.564,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over58c451.36$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5768053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1726,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over56c396.08$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2855053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over57c389.12$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.321,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over57c389.12$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.321,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over49c357.74$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.457953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under78c313$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.651,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c284.83$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.669,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Over51c274.08$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.314858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over51c240.79$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.981,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c230.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.195,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c226.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.272,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Under60c216.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8431449.4%155 W · 159 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…4e6bbacked Over48c173$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.355328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over70c154.62$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3915143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c149.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.892,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under59c135.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9843560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2550748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Under12c124.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.742147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under44c119.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.042,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Under63c113.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5710649.1%52 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over58c112.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.111,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over50c111.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0957046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.751,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under61c104.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8911256.3%63 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4144949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410559%62 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under24c99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.761,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under28c98.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7163943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over65c98.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.962,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c87.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.232,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Over51c82.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.298944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over70c71.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.343,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over58c69.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1389053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under42c64.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0978155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Under42c59.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8677353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5621751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over55c55.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.086,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.524152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.565549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.546557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Under31c46.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.738949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over59c46.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under42c44.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.631,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332c…7175backed Under49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over54c41.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0916450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe581…d77abacked Over67c39.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.937650%38 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over52c37.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.219155.5%106 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under33c37.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.421,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over60c36.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3321055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over59c34.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.361,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under48c34.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5790446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under57c33.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.199744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over65c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1637451.3%192 W · 182 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Over65c29.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4617752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over56c29.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9859749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over43c28.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2570546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Over61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7834754.8%190 W · 157 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Under42c24.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.499359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Over78c24.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.377055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d0…3570backed Under44c22.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Over60c21.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6428456.7%161 W · 123 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over56c20.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.455643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.