MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99165c4cebf9075ec8cbd677a07bcefbe97010f58416e37d3dce4e40e892b1e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 14,327$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,453.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 57c | 7,477$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.09 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 43c | 2,400$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 2,076$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 2,000$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.46 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 1,982$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.44 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,952$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 64c | 1,903$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 1,618$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,243$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 1,205$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.29 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 1,166$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 44c | 784$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…775fbacked Under | 68c | 660.27$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 43c | 577.65$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 60c | 573.8$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.52 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 44c | 562.24$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 60c | 484.25$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 468$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.56 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 58c | 451.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 56c | 396.08$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 57c | 389.12$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 57c | 389.12$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 49c | 357.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 78c | 313$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.65 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 284.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 51c | 274.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 51c | 240.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 230.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 226.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Under | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Over | 48c | 173$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 70c | 154.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 149.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 59c | 135.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Under | 12c | 124.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 119.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Under | 63c | 113.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 58c | 112.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 50c | 111.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 61c | 104.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 28c | 98.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 65c | 98.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 35c | 87.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 51c | 82.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 70c | 71.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 58c | 69.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 42c | 64.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 42c | 59.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 55c | 55.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Under | 31c | 46.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 59c | 46.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 42c | 44.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…7175backed Under | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Over | 54c | 41.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Over | 67c | 39.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 52c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 33c | 37.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 60c | 36.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 59c | 34.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 34.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 57c | 33.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 65c | 29.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 56c | 29.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 43c | 28.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 42c | 24.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…c745backed Over | 78c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…3570backed Under | 44c | 22.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 60c | 21.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.