MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9689c781c9967fde005c3887e111340df1e0870637a616e6dc50d170828ab3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $639,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,999.97 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 131,811$71,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,202.93 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 49,451$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 38,243$22,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,582.32 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 30,582$20,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,992.55 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 22,720$10,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,224.09 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 21,522$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,821.82 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 19,468$10,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,132.57 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 17,954$9,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,446.46 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 13,800$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,486 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…bb80backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 12,060$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 9,169$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.99 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 8,014$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.24 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 6,588$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.88 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 6,370$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.52 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 6,128$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.25 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 6,094$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.19 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 5,860$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.36 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 5,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 5,207$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…41f3backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,685$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 4,681$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.54 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,508$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 4,329$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.77 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 3,950$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.87 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 3,872$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.84 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 3,863$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,781$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 2,732$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.63 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…5a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,722$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,577$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.01 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,545$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.27 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 2,457$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.28 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 2,414$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.01 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 2,407$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,165$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.5 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 2,164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,078$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.44 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 1,817$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.32 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,619$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.02 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,600$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.96 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Seattle Mariners | 33c | 1,405$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 1,401$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 1,394$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.66 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 1,361$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.47 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…41a4backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,095$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,077$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.04 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 1,063$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,018$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.44 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.56 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Seattle Mariners | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 989.62$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.73 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…034dbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 986.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 953$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.4 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 899.44$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.74 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 899.04$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.56 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 856.27$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.73 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 840$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 819.15$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 816.67$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.67 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 816.33$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.84 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 806.08$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.1 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 797.18$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 764.97$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.89 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 740$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.1 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 723$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.25 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 642.97$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…40cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Seattle Mariners | 79c | 625$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…0c84backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…940dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 595.15$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.77 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 573$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 566.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 539.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 539.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 536.89$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.23 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 521.47$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 513.15$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…43f4backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 502.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 492$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 484.12$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 480$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 479.9$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 450.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 442$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…9a1bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…3023backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.