Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da93d357bfd4e8a1eef2aeb306b91d8a39066321df0044a2bc8b3a35c293d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 19c | 26,804$5,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.93 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…efa1backed Team Liquid | 3c | 14,480$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 12,521$7,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.84 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 9,642$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.06 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Liquid | 28c | 8,781$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.27 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 29c | 7,597$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.7 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 7,547$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.88 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Team Liquid | 38c | 7,383$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 6,826$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.56 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Team Liquid | 1c | 6,272$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 5,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 5,591$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Team Spirit | 64c | 5,555$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.07 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Team Liquid | 40c | 5,003$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Team Liquid | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Liquid | 34c | 4,969$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.17 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 16c | 4,704$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 4,099$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.73 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Team Spirit | 62c | 4,057$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 28c | 4,000$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.99 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 3,628$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 3,460$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.37 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Liquid | 31c | 3,311$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.74 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Liquid | 9c | 3,292$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.94 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 24c | 3,130$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.85 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 3,000$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 2,892$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.55 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Team Spirit | 72c | 2,778$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 2,529$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.78 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 2,500$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.32 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Spirit | 62c | 2,475$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.96 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 2,374$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.07 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 5c | 2,356$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Liquid | 6c | 2,325$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Spirit | 64c | 2,312$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.47 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Team Liquid | 23c | 2,218$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 2,016$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.91 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Spirit | 75c | 2,000$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.74 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,940$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.28 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 1,938$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,766$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 1,708$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 1,655$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.9 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,600$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,586$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…baf3backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,528$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,513$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.08 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 1,501$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.11 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Liquid | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.96 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Team Spirit | 72c | 1,464$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 30c | 1,451$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,400$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 1,391$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.85 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,284$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,216$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.2 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,202$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.43 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Team Liquid | 29c | 1,195$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.92 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,189$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.93 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,168$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.44 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,107$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.81 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Liquid | 17c | 1,061$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,046$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…0c2fbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,001$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Liquid | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 31c | 958.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…8655backed Team Spirit | 69c | 865$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 791.52$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Team Liquid | 22c | 787$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 22c | 779.66$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b0…de80backed Team Liquid | 23c | 769.91$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 707.58$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Team Spirit | 68c | 672$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid | 15c | 655.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 27c | 649.79$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Team Liquid | 27c | 632.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Team Spirit | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Liquid | 33c | 599.51$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…d677backed Team Spirit | 62c | 590.76$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Liquid | 38c | 548.03$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 37c | 542.11$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Team Liquid | 38c | 520.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 515$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 499.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Team Spirit | 63c | 473$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed Team Spirit | 76c | 458.12$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Liquid | 36c | 452.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 39c | 449.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Team Liquid | 22c | 447.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Spirit | 62c | 429.03$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 24c | 420.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 415.95$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…be99backed Team Spirit | 77c | 415.57$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.