Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdbbb08608119384041e961368317cdc18b49083710dad7050311938db28baf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Spirit | 63c | 16,760$10,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270.8 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 11,167$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 58c | 6,792$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.37 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Team Liquid | 40c | 4,948$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Team Liquid | 45c | 4,440$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 4,010$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.48 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 3,768$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.11 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 3,700$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Spirit | 64c | 3,044$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.31 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Spirit | 63c | 2,548$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.62 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Liquid | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,520$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Liquid | 32c | 1,489$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,330$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,323$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.81 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,265$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.7 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,180$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Team Spirit | 74c | 1,010$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…57e0backed Team Spirit | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 857.68$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.53 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Spirit | 62c | 840.48$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.48 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Liquid | 6c | 740$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 59c | 712.19$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 612.36$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit | 66c | 606.58$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 600.11$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Liquid | 10c | 599.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Liquid | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 555$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 62c | 510.74$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Liquid | 35c | 484.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 430$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Team Liquid | 39c | 349.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 39c | 316.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Team Spirit | 57c | 258.57$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Team Liquid | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Team Liquid | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…f062backed Team Spirit | 60c | 249.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Liquid | 36c | 232.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Team Spirit | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Team Spirit | 62c | 161.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 156$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 154.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Team Liquid | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 145.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 118.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Team Liquid | 38c | 116.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 111.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Spirit | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Team Spirit | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Team Spirit | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Liquid | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Spirit | 75c | 86.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Team Liquid | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Liquid | 39c | 80.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Team Liquid | 39c | 80.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Team Spirit | 60c | 77.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Team Liquid | 32c | 72.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Liquid | 39c | 71.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Liquid | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Team Liquid | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Liquid | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Team Liquid | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 53.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Team Liquid | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…9edcbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit | 58c | 49.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Spirit | 70c | 44.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Liquid | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Liquid | 40c | 35.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…265ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 35.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 34.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Team Spirit | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5806…751fbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.