TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7ee…8655

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$645.98
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$243.6
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+58.6%+$624.6
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+102.8%+$234.27
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+72.7%+$69.85
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+250.1%+$37.52
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$84
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+44.4%+$266.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$73.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$273.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$101.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.