NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e221de6ebe56c959225f7acb6bc160e6ee4728c2311944acffbd647997a786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,693,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,720,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,693,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Cardinals | 27c | 791,267$211,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211,269.91 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Cardinals | 25c | 194,345$48,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,586.31 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Packers | 74c | 174,306$128,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,723.97 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Cardinals | 25c | 167,262$41,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,790.54 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Packers | 62c | 163,275$101,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,837.97 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers | 73c | 126,850$92,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,790.85 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Packers | 74c | 117,000$86,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,620 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Packers | 74c | 116,176$85,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,579.62 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Cardinals | 48c | 97,902$46,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,648 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Packers | 74c | 81,500$60,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,190 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cardinals | 45c | 80,848$36,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,106.74 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Cardinals | 25c | 70,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cardinals | 29c | 65,502$19,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,057.54 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Packers | 50c | 62,578$31,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,298.31 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Packers | 55c | 60,000$33,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,949.99 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Packers | 75c | 55,000$41,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Packers | 55c | 53,264$29,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,179.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Packers | 68c | 47,534$32,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,158.88 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 44,573$16,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,750.56 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Packers | 75c | 43,457$32,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,864.75 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Packers | 75c | 37,718$28,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,509.45 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Cardinals | 26c | 36,325$9,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,444.41 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 36,261$16,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,156.43 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Packers | 74c | 33,799$25,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,749.86 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cardinals | 26c | 32,996$8,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,545.61 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Packers | 74c | 30,805$22,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Packers | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Packers | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 25c | 29,604$7,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375.9 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Packers | 75c | 27,850$20,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.06 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Packers | 76c | 20,685$15,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.4 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Cardinals | 24c | 17,135$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.46 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cardinals | 25c | 17,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.11 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cardinals | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Cardinals | 30c | 14,684$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,472.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers | 57c | 13,160$7,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.2 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Packers | 75c | 12,347$9,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.22 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Packers | 73c | 11,187$8,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.49 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Packers | 75c | 11,111$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.75 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Packers | 75c | 11,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Packers | 65c | 10,769$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.23 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…bb56backed Packers | 73c | 10,063$7,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Packers | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Cardinals | 45c | 10,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cardinals | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Packers | 61c | 8,553$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.37 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Packers | 75c | 7,500$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Cardinals | 59c | 7,317$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.84 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 75c | 7,186$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.38 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Packers | 73c | 7,000$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Packers | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals | 25c | 5,846$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.09 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Packers | 75c | 5,334$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.42 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Packers | 73c | 5,125$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Packers | 68c | 5,059$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.82 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Cardinals | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 29c | 4,844$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.18 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cardinals | 24c | 4,714$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.36 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Packers | 75c | 4,402$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.39 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Cardinals | 36c | 4,156$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Packers | 73c | 4,100$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Packers | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Cardinals | 50c | 3,993$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Packers | 47c | 3,884$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.52 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Cardinals | 50c | 3,695$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.5 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…668bbacked Packers | 54c | 3,672$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Packers | 75c | 3,600$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Packers | 58c | 3,481$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.41 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Packers | 73c | 3,479$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.24 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Cardinals | 27c | 3,331$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.37 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Packers | 71c | 3,196$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.96 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…3292backed Cardinals | 32c | 3,154$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…6556backed Cardinals | 33c | 3,054$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Packers | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Cardinals | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Packers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed Cardinals | 33c | 2,995$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…9d7cbacked Cardinals | 52c | 2,857$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers | 75c | 2,856$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.95 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Packers | 73c | 2,838$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Packers | 74c | 2,762$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.24 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Packers | 56c | 2,728$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.4 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…fe70backed Packers | 76c | 2,643$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Packers | 74c | 2,541$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Packers | 53c | 2,520$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.8 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 29c | 2,312$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.92 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Packers | 75c | 2,109$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.33 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Cardinals | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Packers | 68c | 2,025$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.07 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…a763backed Cardinals | 57c | 2,022$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Packers | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Packers | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Packers | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cardinals | 55c | 1,988$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Packers | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Cardinals | 26c | 1,930$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.68 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Cardinals | 48c | 1,891$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Packers | 75c | 1,750$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Packers | 70c | 1,638$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Packers vs. Cardinals: O/U 44.5Over won
- Packers vs. Cardinals: O/U 45.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-5.5)Cardinals won
- Spread: Packers (-6.5)Cardinals won
- Spread: Packers (-7.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.