NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ae1f186f6ff53cd561139931e50786cdbd45b3eb487d2759c462b80819c2d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Packers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd62f…9401backed Cardinals | 44c | 25,934$11,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,523.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…eeb9backed Cardinals | 44c | 18,012$7,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,086.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…f249backed Cardinals | 44c | 11,062$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Packers | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…8d6dbacked Packers | 56c | 1,630$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…4631backed Packers | 56c | 1,381$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3f2dbacked Packers | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…643cbacked Packers | 56c | 1,251$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Packers | 55c | 1,171$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.27 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c14…974bbacked Packers | 56c | 1,142$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdac…95efbacked Packers | 56c | 1,140$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals | 42c | 1,075$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.68 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…b0c8backed Packers | 56c | 924$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…aedabacked Packers | 56c | 892$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 881.89$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.78 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…7949backed Packers | 56c | 877$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…fe70backed Packers | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…fce9backed Packers | 56c | 849$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…d7cbbacked Packers | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…c9fbbacked Packers | 56c | 777$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…854fbacked Packers | 56c | 765$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…7810backed Packers | 56c | 732$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…dbc9backed Packers | 56c | 719$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…21e3backed Packers | 56c | 714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf979…b76fbacked Packers | 56c | 710$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…285cbacked Packers | 56c | 705$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ada…55babacked Packers | 56c | 656$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…67edbacked Packers | 56c | 650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…31dbbacked Packers | 56c | 629$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…e033backed Packers | 56c | 621$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…0865backed Packers | 56c | 612$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce6…f524backed Packers | 56c | 599$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ce26backed Packers | 56c | 586$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ad…02febacked Packers | 56c | 576$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe048…b85fbacked Packers | 56c | 575$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6923…9257backed Packers | 56c | 570$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…9742backed Packers | 56c | 545$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…cc88backed Packers | 56c | 532$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…dd0dbacked Packers | 56c | 529$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…2a44backed Packers | 56c | 528$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf24…cd6bbacked Packers | 56c | 516$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…13efbacked Packers | 56c | 509$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…7ca7backed Packers | 56c | 508$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…5bd9backed Packers | 56c | 503$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…a090backed Packers | 56c | 485$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6a16backed Packers | 56c | 482$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…eee5backed Packers | 56c | 468$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…fed5backed Packers | 56c | 461$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d2…b969backed Packers | 56c | 457$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…19c6backed Packers | 56c | 449$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2e…5028backed Packers | 56c | 439$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a8…2435backed Packers | 56c | 438$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…8d0fbacked Packers | 56c | 431$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8a…1415backed Packers | 56c | 429$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838f…afaabacked Packers | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae4…5066backed Packers | 56c | 398$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59a…5de9backed Packers | 56c | 391$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…3275backed Packers | 56c | 383$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…6065backed Packers | 56c | 382$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…047bbacked Packers | 56c | 381$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Cardinals | 45c | 379.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.41 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…16c1backed Packers | 56c | 374$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…781dbacked Packers | 56c | 372$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…59a1backed Packers | 56c | 371$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0400…b57ebacked Packers | 56c | 369$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…1cc9backed Packers | 56c | 368$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…903abacked Packers | 56c | 365$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…97c5backed Packers | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d214backed Packers | 56c | 359$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…cb25backed Packers | 56c | 352$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…18e2backed Packers | 56c | 349$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…0f01backed Packers | 56c | 347$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…af89backed Packers | 56c | 331$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6005…8273backed Packers | 56c | 331$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1f…be8fbacked Packers | 56c | 318$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfab…31f0backed Packers | 56c | 316$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61eb…4345backed Packers | 56c | 315$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077d…0142backed Packers | 56c | 313$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…6e47backed Packers | 56c | 310$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…572cbacked Packers | 56c | 309$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82d…d914backed Packers | 56c | 297$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed9…c7b9backed Packers | 56c | 297$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…254bbacked Packers | 56c | 291$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4396…b881backed Packers | 56c | 276$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…ca48backed Packers | 56c | 271$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…10c9backed Packers | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…459dbacked Packers | 56c | 269$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…4222backed Packers | 56c | 266$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…e938backed Packers | 56c | 262$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…f476backed Packers | 56c | 258$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…7e1dbacked Packers | 56c | 257$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0272backed Packers | 56c | 255$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…c8ffbacked Packers | 56c | 252$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…9a75backed Packers | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…07bfbacked Packers | 56c | 249$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…828cbacked Packers | 56c | 247$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…4b01backed Packers | 56c | 246$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…6a66backed Packers | 56c | 244$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…940cbacked Packers | 56c | 244$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-5.5)this page
- Packers vs. CardinalsPackers won
- Packers vs. Cardinals: O/U 44.5Over won
- Packers vs. Cardinals: O/U 45.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-6.5)Cardinals won
- Spread: Packers (-7.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.