Earnings · resolved market
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f95e710bc6f2e678e39cc02d73c4cc6cdb130cf765667647290a72da81144f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 23c | 2,381$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.56 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 34c | 1,689$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.83 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…b632backed No | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked Yes | 76c | 989.61$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 68c | 869.23$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.23 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…f622backed Yes | 74c | 805.95$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 73c | 660.85$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed No | 31c | 601.24$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9593backed Yes | 75c | 510$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…98cbbacked No | 24c | 449.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…2d85backed Yes | 73c | 441.57$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…64fcbacked Yes | 73c | 412.35$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Yes | 73c | 409.4$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 29c | 391.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 23c | 355.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed No | 37c | 310.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…ad18backed Yes | 65c | 305.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 74c | 299.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 28c | 213.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 76c | 203$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…164fbacked No | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 22c | 183.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 136.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 74c | 134.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d7…3499backed Yes | 75c | 134.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…8655backed Yes | 77c | 129.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 66c | 103.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb0…3b23backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…53c8backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Yes | 75c | 86.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 24c | 83.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 20c | 82.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…0a19backed Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked No | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaa…721bbacked Yes | 78c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Yes | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed No | 23c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…aa1fbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 77cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…fe6abacked Yes | 69c | 58.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6504…6bbbbacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…a2e5backed Yes | 79c | 50.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…73bebacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…e137backed No | 32c | 46.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 24c | 46.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…8bdebacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…aebebacked Yes | 64c | 31.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…3bc0backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…aa79backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…daeebacked Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 64c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 76c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…d9bdbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…3658backed Yes | 77c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ae…621bbacked Yes | 78c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.