TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$528,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$546,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25dc…e33bbacked No48c64,462$30,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,821.4613053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0d…8f51backed Yes65c48,494$31,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,521.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8a…e4cdbacked Yes15c25,996$3,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,870.92110%0 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fda…01d5backed No75c20,789$15,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,290.922470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca75…657fbacked Yes55c15,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2003240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No73c14,787$10,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,942.681580%12 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+30.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc5bb…a429backed No47c12,200$5,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,522.754151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Yes16c11,681$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.434216.7%7 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd093…9a7dbacked Yes19c10,712$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.6940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…797cbacked Yes11c10,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.1960%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8666…d7c7backed Yes33c8,870$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.545933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c8,810$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.74163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes19c6,621$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.782123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0926…51dabacked Yes29c6,471$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.91119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-86%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33b0…e5f9backed Yes10c6,250$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes13c5,872$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.514231%13 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd6b…d1cabacked Yes29c5,812$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479b…a26fbacked Yes9c5,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb52…92eebacked No76c5,059$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes26c5,054$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed No56c5,005$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.854450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1730…0885backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-72.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0710…0633backed Yes17c4,907$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef2…1470backed Yes22c4,576$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b3…9989backed Yes1c4,495$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9250%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No60c4,401$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.764953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d4e…d609backed No74c4,396$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e2e…9deebacked Yes19c4,347$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes41c4,282$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.752544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9514…0dd6backed Yes39c4,258$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes4c4,243$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.172317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-58.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes23c3,999$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.7690%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed No69c3,887$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a0…e5f6backed No79c3,801$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…4ae5backed Yes1c3,724$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb98…8bfdbacked Yes39c3,616$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda2…ffa9backed Yes16c3,546$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55340%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e58…3e05backed Yes19c3,483$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…1de3backed Yes33c3,066$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked No62c3,054$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.47875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes38c2,870$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.642832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffcb…41a5backed Yes3c2,867$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7da…7e03backed Yes21c2,797$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.8350%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes4c2,675$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0e…efbabacked Yes39c2,658$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe328…9f4abacked Yes39c2,509$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.035925.4%15 W · 44 L-12.2wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c2,436$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.751,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee8…7e06backed Yes19c2,157$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.236940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab6…bcb9backed Yes12c2,084$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8670%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed No61c2,000$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.333275%24 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed No79c1,969$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c1,870$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.46728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes45c1,718$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.953537.1%13 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc74…216cbacked Yes52c1,610$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed Yes37c1,505$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602814.3%4 W · 24 L-8.6wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-72.6%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x043d…9aeebacked Yes34c1,314$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ae…a52dbacked Yes20c1,290$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9915…3704backed Yes44c1,257$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.421526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes2c1,233$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.921431.4%2 W · 141 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3442…fd94backed Yes21c1,223$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…8f03backed Yes26c1,167$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1988…80f5backed Yes20c1,160$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.39520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-61%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e7…bb8cbacked Yes40c1,150$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9010…32a0backed Yes39c1,129$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.021811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c4…dca6backed Yes39c1,117$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4331315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-66.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d24…e4f3backed No73c1,110$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0061…548ebacked Yes41c1,100$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.48128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb6…a986backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ac…1af2backed Yes40c1,035$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.35120%0 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed No48c1,033$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be6…45bbbacked Yes47c1,007$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No75c1,006$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.463455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1093…32eabacked Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a5…8427backed No67c991.36$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…6c7fbacked Yes38c977.85$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63be…2c64backed Yes23c935.86$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.25119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick42cpaid-82.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b89…693cbacked Yes11c914.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes20c885.36$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.89659.2%6 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50a…b40bbacked Yes6c824.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x790e…76afbacked Yes8c775.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.071145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b17…f53bbacked Yes67c749.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe964…f5a9backed No49c723$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…edd6backed Yes39c700$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedda…2e39backed Yes11c686.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.570%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3016…a9cebacked Yes15c686.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d81…34b1backed Yes39c643.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb26f…7e32backed No80c613.28$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.963100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1a…7f99backed Yes51c599.74$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6a…9a70backed Yes18c584.67$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes7c570$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.371693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked No77c567.43$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc8…d62cbacked Yes15c550$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Yes20c536.05$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9f…c1a4backed Yes16c528.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.531127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb17…dc94backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1743…4091backed Yes23c518.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…52c0backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20647.8%5 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66b…0b8bbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f49…7458backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.