Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1c10cc7d481edd933af1ce259eb8bf24e1e68a7ffaeb226da7decee090fb1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 16c | 22,082$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.59 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 8c | 11,967$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.19 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 7c | 11,467$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.17 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 2c | 7,026$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 68c | 3,357$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.47 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,340$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…f7bdbacked Yes | 27c | 2,582$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,476$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 2,189$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 80c | 2,150$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.43 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…3c36backed Yes | 1c | 1,845$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 15c | 1,834$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.86 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…7364backed Yes | 57c | 1,781$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.17 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,595$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 78c | 1,446$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.77 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…3eecbacked Yes | 59c | 1,053$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…07f2backed Yes | 1c | 1,040$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 10c | 1,029$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 41c | 961.04$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.94 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed Yes | 9c | 840.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 42c | 776.96$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.32 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5907…3b88backed Yes | 6c | 694.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…1acebacked Yes | 32c | 675.47$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 45c | 675.43$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…9d74backed Yes | 3c | 674.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 648.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 36c | 592.54$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.81 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 62c | 528.5$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 40c | 520$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a82abacked Yes | 11c | 502.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…7840backed No | 75c | 501$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…ef84backed No | 64c | 484.5$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…0799backed Yes | 10c | 478.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 46c | 455.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.92 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 6c | 428.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9a29…729ebacked No | 57c | 359.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked No | 80c | 358.12$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 10c | 352$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f6…4498backed Yes | 6c | 321.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617e…940abacked No | 53c | 318.24$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked No | 55c | 313$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +682.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…a496backed No | 73c | 299.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…fb0abacked Yes | 10c | 295.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 43c | 289.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 42c | 282.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…4a0dbacked No | 44c | 269.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 55c | 255.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee1…aed2backed Yes | 59c | 254.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…a7e0backed Yes | 8c | 246.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 63c | 245.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4af2backed Yes | 10c | 236.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…4ad3backed No | 52c | 231.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed Yes | 47c | 213.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 48c | 207.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…40f4backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…c654backed Yes | 71c | 194.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfd…1c41backed Yes | 23c | 193.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 72c | 188.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…5117backed Yes | 66c | 181.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…6d2abacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed Yes | 56c | 170$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 165.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…b20abacked Yes | 36c | 155.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…542ebacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…4128backed Yes | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…79f4backed Yes | 68c | 148.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 24c | 146.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 50c | 143.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 39c | 133.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…27aabacked Yes | 67c | 133.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…70f2backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7290…1770backed Yes | 39c | 121.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…be0dbacked Yes | 10c | 120.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…4ca3backed No | 45c | 116.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked No | 49c | 113.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…fb2abacked Yes | 13c | 107.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…5772backed No | 50c | 105.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…f873backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…328dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5e8fbacked Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Yes | 41c | 97.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…a5e8backed Yes | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 69c | 95.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed No | 57c | 89.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 56c | 84.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 60c | 81.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…5e17backed Yes | 44c | 81.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 22c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 55c | 77.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…e852backed No | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 15c | 74.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…b2afbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 16c | 73.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.