Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573747eb0c154f2d697a940b764a19b267b7f8af6cfed0a0e6c5c50f785ef00b

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $109,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,475 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	16,146$9,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,778.09	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over	27c	6,034$1,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,629.31	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	11c	3,855$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.89	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	35c	3,500$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,290	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…64b8backed Under	35c	2,904$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,887.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf06…b8d1backed Under	36c	2,718$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,739.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf562…5660backed Under	35c	2,532$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,645.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4d…ad45backed Under	35c	2,346$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,524.9	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Under	60c	2,323$1,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.24	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Under	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.91	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Under	73c	2,055$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.79	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	57c	1,777$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.35	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Under	39c	1,553$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.55	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	36c	1,500$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.98	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1350…51b4backed Over	65c	1,475$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d1…5682backed Over	65c	1,429$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x112c…eeb4backed Over	29c	1,370$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.39	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9570…87dbbacked Over	66c	1,360$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ad7…2b1fbacked Over	66c	1,358$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a9…5501backed Over	65c	1,289$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	68c	1,286$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.56	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5924…a3f8backed Over	65c	1,243$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.95	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd345…ce67backed Over	65c	1,196$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Over	49c	1,160$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.4	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2575…45abbacked Over	65c	1,150$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	64c	1,124$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.61	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Under	36c	1,049$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.42	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Over	57c	1,009$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over	18c	999.42$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.89	89	19.1%17 W · 72 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-40%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8e…fbacbacked Under	36c	971.44$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over	41c	945.47$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over	64c	859.38$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over	40c	840.32$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.32	198	53%105 W · 93 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under	36c	825.96$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525.96	240	47.5%114 W · 126 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over	30c	775.4$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.62	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	65c	746.92$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.5	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Under	36c	694.44$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.44	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cfd…2818backed Under	75c	678.55$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	55c	648.84$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.77	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over	48c	630$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.5	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x615e…b526backed Under	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	59cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Under	73c	623$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.21	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under	35c	605.47$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.56	222	29.3%65 W · 157 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9849…36f0backed Over	20c	560.56$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.72	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over	50c	560$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	41c	538.42$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.66	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d5…4af2backed Over	64c	535.6$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.36	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under	3c	515.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	+7.6wins	+0.13per pick	16cpaid	+160.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	28c	500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	64c	500$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Under	80c	499.69$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.94	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over	62c	479.99$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.06	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	41c	454.28$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.66	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over	44c	445.11$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.72	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+10.8wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	43c	434.96$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.58	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over	42c	427.38$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.5	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	37c	421.54$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.58	121	36.4%44 W · 77 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over	26c	400$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	62c	391.07$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.46	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	34c	350.76$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.5	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over	34c	350.43$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	63c	347.63$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.56	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under	34c	347.36$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.26	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over	64c	343.75$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over	50c	330$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.2	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Over	63c	317.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	316.69$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.81	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Over	64c	303.45$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.21	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over	66c	301.91$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.26	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over	27c	301.7$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	34c	300$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over	64c	300$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	136	56.6%77 W · 59 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over	66c	284.61$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.89	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	52c	273.08$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Over	66c	272.79$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.04	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Under	37c	270$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.1	36	69.4%25 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	29c	268.97$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	61c	261.99$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.79	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	36c	255.79$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.36	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under	15c	254.12$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+76.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over	23c	250$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	66c	250$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.3	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89bf…2c66backed Under	36c	249.99$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.49	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over	62c	241$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.19	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Under	70c	230.1$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.03	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a0…20dabacked Over	53c	228.43$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	52c	222.92$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.37	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Under	71c	220.34$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.9	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Over	65c	217$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.05	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	41c	212.98$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.08	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	34c	211.37$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.5	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	37c	204.37$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	222	44.1%98 W · 124 L	+19.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Over	20c	202.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	148	45.9%68 W · 80 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.3	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event