Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x171928da03790eea4569c78d36adcf377826ca339d410bc4d6919e748d6eb38d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d23…6c83backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad7…2b1fbacked No | 34c | 10,616$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…45abbacked No | 34c | 10,210$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5924…a3f8backed No | 34c | 9,658$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,374.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…5682backed No | 34c | 8,948$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,905.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…43d1backed No | 34c | 8,594$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,672.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…2d45backed No | 34c | 8,546$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbe…011abacked No | 34c | 8,526$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed No | 53c | 8,060$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…46eebacked Yes | 66c | 7,302$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054f…3814backed No | 34c | 7,200$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a5…98f9backed No | 34c | 7,090$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…b8d1backed Yes | 66c | 6,554$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…c85abacked Yes | 66c | 6,526$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…ad45backed Yes | 66c | 6,362$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…5660backed Yes | 66c | 6,080$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…fb82backed Yes | 66c | 6,026$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…76b9backed Yes | 66c | 5,922$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…87dbbacked Yes | 66c | 5,653$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…64b8backed Yes | 66c | 5,604$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…394abacked Yes | 66c | 4,242$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd345…ce67backed Yes | 66c | 3,848$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…5501backed Yes | 66c | 3,680$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…51b4backed Yes | 66c | 3,341$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 2,575$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.87 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea23…a468backed Yes | 66c | 2,526$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6025…32fcbacked Yes | 66c | 2,525$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 2,517$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.7 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…3805backed No | 34c | 2,300$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,649$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…7c27backed Yes | 66c | 1,580$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…4b26backed Yes | 66c | 1,510$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.96 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…e37bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,440$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 65c | 1,405$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.23 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…600cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,370$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 47c | 1,317$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…3ee7backed Yes | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Yes | 65c | 919.98$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Yes | 43c | 865.77$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 64c | 842.98$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 57c | 800.77$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.4 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked No | 63c | 797.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 64c | 745.46$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.1 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Yes | 67c | 734.33$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 45c | 690.75$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.28 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 66c | 672.55$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.88 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 620.48$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 65c | 619.97$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.98 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…fd79backed Yes | 50c | 599.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 35c | 586$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.9 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Yes | 49c | 553.03$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 48c | 395.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 36c | 381.96$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.46 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 41c | 269.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…58a5backed Yes | 66c | 268.88$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed No | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 66c | 227$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 220.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…254cbacked No | 55c | 187$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…81d7backed Yes | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 66c | 184.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 48c | 156.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…8977backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Yes | 66c | 151.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 47c | 149.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…1b7dbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…71d6backed Yes | 38c | 133.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 38c | 132.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 54c | 132.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 66c | 131.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…9e25backed No | 65c | 131.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 48c | 128.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 34c | 119.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 66c | 114.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…e979backed No | 53c | 110.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 50c | 100.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…0726backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…c1c8backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -7.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed No | 35c | 95.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 34c | 87.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 34c | 87.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…fdcdbacked Yes | 66c | 86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.