Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c7ce2433f1ddcc88190926e22a909459d6fde8544ade45fbf3e90ade6384eef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 47,766$16,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,556.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 62c | 6,184$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…c85abacked Under | 15c | 5,322$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 5,320$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.85 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…46eebacked Under | 15c | 4,342$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 26c | 4,165$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.59 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Over | 56c | 3,000$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,387$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 67c | 2,229$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.56 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 64c | 2,094$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.37 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 48c | 2,070$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 56c | 1,790$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6025…32fcbacked Under | 16c | 1,625$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 47c | 1,481$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.47 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 55c | 1,130$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.5 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Over | 67c | 1,122$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Over | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 12c | 879.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Under | 40c | 875.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 58c | 851.62$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 15c | 704.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over | 43c | 698.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.07 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 45c | 593.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Over | 77c | 516.47$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Over | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 427.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 56c | 395.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 56c | 369.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 361.91$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 61c | 328.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 69c | 328.01$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 307.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 67c | 298.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 49c | 297.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…5696backed Over | 52c | 286.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 55c | 281.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 33c | 251.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 57c | 235.76$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 70c | 224.06$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 13c | 222.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…9127backed Over | 56c | 206.66$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 31c | 201.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc2…f6b1backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 185.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…375abacked Over | 61c | 169.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Over | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5009backed Over | 45c | 159.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 16c | 145.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 71c | 140.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Over | 57c | 140.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 17c | 140.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 20c | 136.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 29c | 132.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 17c | 131.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 62c | 123.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 17c | 118.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5c82backed Under | 17c | 118.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…8dbbbacked Over | 62c | 117.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 36c | 112.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 65c | 110.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…5079backed Over | 55c | 109.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 30c | 108.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…2c66backed Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 15c | 96.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…0726backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…fb60backed Over | 72c | 83.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 68c | 77.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…2899backed Over | 58c | 74.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 16c | 72.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Over | 69c | 72.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…2c90backed Over | 57c | 71.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…f733backed Over | 56c | 69.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 44c | 63.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…ce19backed Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…a39fbacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.