Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f2c0f903d655c4c3f4bc3820c9cb223d2e94616fe10448e4493199ed55160be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 42c | 45,728$19,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,205.65 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 27,910$17,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,477.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d23…6c83backed Over | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 9,390$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.08 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 43c | 9,286$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 41c | 8,679$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.86 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 58c | 8,566$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.72 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 68c | 5,736$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.37 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Over | 43c | 4,269$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Under | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Under | 57c | 3,644$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Under | 68c | 3,451$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a5…98f9backed Under | 57c | 3,301$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 60c | 3,218$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.2 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbe…011abacked Under | 57c | 3,067$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…5682backed Under | 57c | 3,050$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad7…2b1fbacked Under | 57c | 2,850$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…43d1backed Under | 57c | 2,833$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 44c | 2,805$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.03 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5924…a3f8backed Under | 57c | 2,650$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…c85abacked Over | 43c | 2,609$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…45abbacked Under | 57c | 2,450$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 77c | 2,285$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.55 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Over | 44c | 2,267$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.61 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 32c | 2,116$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 41c | 2,045$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.32 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 58c | 1,732$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.93 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…3805backed Over | 43c | 1,680$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 57c | 1,642$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.06 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…76b9backed Over | 43c | 1,621$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…394abacked Over | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…51b4backed Over | 43c | 1,550$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…fb82backed Over | 43c | 1,504$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…64b8backed Over | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…b8d1backed Over | 43c | 1,450$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6025…32fcbacked Over | 43c | 1,446$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…87dbbacked Over | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 58c | 1,388$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.4 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…46eebacked Over | 43c | 1,387$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea23…a468backed Under | 57c | 1,353$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…5660backed Over | 43c | 1,350$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…5501backed Over | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 43c | 1,298$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…2d45backed Under | 57c | 1,256$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…ad45backed Over | 43c | 1,250$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 1,238$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.27 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 43c | 1,221$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd345…ce67backed Over | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 12c | 868.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 57c | 852.33$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.5 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 32c | 804$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 68c | 735.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 29c | 650.16$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Under | 57c | 625$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 43c | 584.63$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.39 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Over | 13c | 460.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…a69abacked Over | 43c | 451.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…7adfbacked Under | 57c | 450$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 58c | 449.08$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 44c | 425$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 58c | 370$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 56c | 357$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 57c | 312$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 56c | 305.61$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 42c | 279.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 57c | 242.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Under | 57c | 204.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…d82ebacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 24c | 194.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Under | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 78c | 166$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 62c | 155.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 42c | 154$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 58c | 134.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 126$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…b83bbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.