MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4fb9ae8c8ab51a73f23699fd0d54a8ef253c7232b8e54924392bc350ba77267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,042,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,586,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,042,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecc7…fb2abacked Tigers | 46c | 432,911$199,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,771.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 52c | 303,944$158,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,299.41 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Tigers | 47c | 212,693$99,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,727.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Tigers | 47c | 200,670$94,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,355.25 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Guardians | 53c | 165,000$87,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,450 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 47c | 128,914$60,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,181.94 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Guardians | 54c | 112,000$60,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,279.96 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Tigers | 47c | 108,409$50,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,456.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Guardians | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers | 51c | 95,650$48,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,859.65 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Guardians | 54c | 94,471$51,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,098.26 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 53c | 74,440$39,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,446.41 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Guardians | 53c | 58,173$30,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,831.72 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Guardians | 54c | 54,378$29,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,607.83 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Guardians | 53c | 50,025$26,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,613.5 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Guardians | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Guardians | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,499.98 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Tigers | 49c | 30,696$15,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,662.71 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Tigers | 70c | 30,303$21,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,142.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 54c | 28,676$15,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,098.99 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Tigers | 46c | 27,115$12,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,532.12 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 46c | 27,074$12,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,422.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Guardians | 44c | 25,959$11,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,432.51 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.99 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Tigers | 48c | 24,668$11,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,844.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 56c | 23,244$12,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,288.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 31c | 21,100$6,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,596.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 54c | 20,725$11,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,191.72 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers | 48c | 20,453$9,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,590.04 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Guardians | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Guardians | 53c | 13,250$7,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,057 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Guardians | 52c | 12,049$6,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,265.66 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Guardians | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 54c | 10,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 47c | 10,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,349.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Tigers | 46c | 9,581$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,134.64 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 50c | 9,399$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.52 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Tigers | 74c | 8,948$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Guardians | 55c | 8,040$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…c3c6backed Guardians | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…177abacked Tigers | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Tigers | 47c | 8,000$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.93 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Guardians | 55c | 7,823$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Guardians | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Tigers | 46c | 6,861$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…05a0backed Tigers | 62c | 6,473$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tigers | 56c | 6,133$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.81 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Guardians | 53c | 6,077$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.73 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Tigers | 47c | 6,004$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.04 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Guardians | 55c | 6,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Tigers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians | 1c | 5,833$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked Tigers | 63c | 5,633$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Tigers | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.59 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Guardians | 54c | 5,100$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Tigers | 46c | 5,005$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Guardians | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Guardians | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 54c | 4,939$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.14 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Guardians | 46c | 4,863$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Guardians | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Tigers | 47c | 4,477$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.69 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 51c | 4,429$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.3 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Guardians | 54c | 4,360$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.4 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Guardians | 54c | 4,327$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669a…dd31backed Tigers | 47c | 4,250$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 54c | 4,164$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.56 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Guardians | 23c | 3,998$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Guardians | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Guardians | 40c | 3,633$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.46 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Tigers | 62c | 3,622$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.45 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 56c | 3,600$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 51c | 3,477$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.71 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Guardians | 53c | 3,396$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Tigers | 52c | 3,099$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.02 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Guardians | 41c | 3,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.05 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians | 34c | 2,893$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.33 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 60c | 2,891$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…d8fabacked Guardians | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Guardians | 54c | 2,709$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 54c | 2,702$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…15b4backed Tigers | 46c | 2,683$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Tigers | 54c | 2,419$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Tigers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Tigers | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.21 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked Guardians | 25c | 2,091$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Tigers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Tigers | 43c | 2,019$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.66 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…2523backed Guardians | 53c | 1,980$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…2b5dbacked Tigers | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Tigers | 46c | 1,977$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Guardians | 1c | 1,918$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…50f0backed Guardians | 54c | 1,914$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…3ec1backed Tigers | 47c | 1,914$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Guardians | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Guardians | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Guardians | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Guardians | 56c | 1,799$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 55c | 1,764$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Guardiansthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.