Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46fe89529d2a3351595d5a034d511a9c9a5806b423581c20ea2bdc484a5ee064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 76c | 4,038$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.12 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 24c | 3,750$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 17c | 2,958$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.83 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 80c | 1,916$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Yes | 79c | 967.47$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 774.38$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 7c | 619$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 77c | 561.94$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 24c | 555$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 77c | 414.29$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 401$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 23c | 292.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 284.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 18c | 267.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 23c | 250.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 22c | 250$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 22c | 206$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 24c | 182.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 22c | 174.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 78c | 157.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 149.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 77c | 137.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 77c | 109$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 22c | 107.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 23c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 24c | 82.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 79c | 78.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 76c | 75.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…6f3cbacked Yes | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…5715backed Yes | 77c | 27.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 77c | 25.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Yes | 77c | 21.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ad…cb87backed Yes | 78c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…e056backed Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.