Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dd3dc447a408da3e31235e2b269ab48bb04e9e1d74461b20bcff67ff4804370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked No | 64c | 124,124$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,124.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 70,455$24,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,897.75 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 32,836$7,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,503.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 36c | 10,428$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.94 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 7,912$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.36 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 36c | 3,381$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.2 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 63c | 2,986$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.9 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Yes | 36c | 2,746$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…51ebbacked Yes | 38c | 2,740$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,819$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 35c | 1,700$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 63c | 1,667$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.63 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.4 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked No | 63c | 1,490$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,420$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.13 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 1,231$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.04 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 63c | 1,139$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.47 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 37c | 1,104$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.06 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 37c | 972.67$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.92 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 9c | 899.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 61c | 835.3$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.6 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 35c | 814$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 7c | 809.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a63…de95backed Yes | 37c | 799.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 734.94$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 8c | 630$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 37c | 627.75$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.27 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…a3d7backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 37c | 556.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 38c | 527.58$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…62b0backed Yes | 28c | 480$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 10c | 460.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 427.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 411.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 395.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 63c | 330$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 62c | 299.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 38c | 292$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 30c | 256.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked No | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…741cbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 38c | 199$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 23c | 195.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 38c | 190$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 173.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d4…b908backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 64c | 154.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed No | 63c | 136.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 38c | 132.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 45cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 64c | 128$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…bcd7backed Yes | 37c | 117.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes | 38c | 105.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 62c | 100.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19c9…2e09backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 33c | 99.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 63c | 98.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 39c | 93.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…6ed0backed Yes | 38c | 88.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacfd…b36cbacked No | 63c | 78.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed No | 63c | 77.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…33abbacked Yes | 38c | 76.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5408…7aebbacked No | 64c | 75.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 38c | 52.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…9055backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 37c | 48.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…0ef4backed No | 64c | 41.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21?No won
- Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.