Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7026bb0936f7f44290f67a160e0fd44d8ce2268711842158be0c641ca24d3f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 17,014$9,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,731.53 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 77c | 13,374$10,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,279.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 11,357$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.01 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 11,210$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.99 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 46c | 10,390$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580.88 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 9,108$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.84 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 5,903$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.64 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 36c | 5,692$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.8 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 3,779$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.52 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 2,998$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.82 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 2,464$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.95 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 65c | 2,438$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 37c | 2,237$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.79 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 2,194$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.57 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 34c | 2,009$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 24c | 1,999$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.76 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…4aafbacked Yes | 36c | 1,373$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,362$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,222$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 22c | 1,139$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,088$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…1443backed Yes | 66c | 983.23$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 66c | 975$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Yes | 63c | 763.49$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 726.89$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 35c | 699.97$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 38c | 695.12$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 68c | 680$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.4 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 37c | 675$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 37c | 648.65$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 63c | 619.57$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.11 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 35c | 610.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.27 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 64c | 581.83$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 64c | 553.3$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 63c | 542.98$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Yes | 38c | 530.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 65c | 498$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 36c | 472.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 443.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.26 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…c3a1backed No | 65c | 421.16$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 46c | 415.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 38c | 378.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 38c | 367.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 48c | 347.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.63 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 335.94$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 35c | 335.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 41c | 299.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 35c | 277.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 37c | 275.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 38c | 263.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 38c | 263.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 262.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 5c | 256$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 37c | 241.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 44c | 210.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…15f2backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 37c | 183$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 168$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 55c | 166.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 37c | 160.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 13c | 157.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 57c | 151.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 54c | 149.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked No | 64c | 145.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 45cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 36c | 139.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 64c | 139$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 43c | 138.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 64c | 137.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.