Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5774273a6f5a7d2fba3c9083862e32bb33c49069dabc5612852cfd1a960ee1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 13,921$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 51c | 4,190$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.39 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 3,316$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.62 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 3,188$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.6 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 45c | 2,631$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.08 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 33c | 2,585$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 57c | 2,130$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 1,390$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.7 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…d9afbacked Over | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Over | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 47c | 1,253$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Over | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 49c | 968.7$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.99 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 55c | 883$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 874.25$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 873.97$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 781.24$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 77c | 712$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…a36cbacked Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 624.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.78 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 608.76$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 53c | 530.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 77c | 480.52$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 470.87$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 79c | 385.72$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 53c | 378.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 77c | 351.82$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 74c | 351.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Under | 74c | 350$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 41c | 339.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.05 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 21c | 333.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 299.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 78c | 288.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 79c | 265.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 76c | 255$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 249.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 248.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 71c | 245$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 47 | 85.1%40 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 45c | 242.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 208.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 28c | 208.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 167.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 67c | 160.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 34c | 158.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 149.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 139.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Over | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 48c | 127.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 79c | 126.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 16c | 118$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 115.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 27c | 109.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Over | 77c | 104.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 48c | 101.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +309.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 64c | 90.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 69c | 86.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 85.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 31c | 79.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 21c | 69.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 39c | 68.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Over | 55c | 63.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Over | 25c | 56.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over | 78c | 55.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 79c | 53.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.