TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No47c6,523$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,447.153,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c1,806$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.851,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbfb…6178backed Yes60c1,033$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes59c1,000$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5944360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes59c999$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.210361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c906.13$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.5376234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes60c832.62$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No39c749.17$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.8134144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes59c617$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.031662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes52c512.44$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.717057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes40c420.08$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7610026%26 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017855.6%99 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No39c395.94$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.521,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes55c300.2$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.113253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Yes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes62c259.1$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+31.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15063645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes62c242.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes51c236.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Yes58c224.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked No56c220$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.82548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No38c212.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9235856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes60c200.13$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.23129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c194.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1681732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.21662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No55c173.31$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4319139.8%76 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes60c166.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-64%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes61c162.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.54440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909062.2%56 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No41c149.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes59c135$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.658664%55 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c123$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.011,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.810057%57 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.928250%41 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked No56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.43345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608251.2%42 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b79…722bbacked Yes47c94.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed No41c91.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes57c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.322562.2%140 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes61c82.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508939.3%35 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No41c71.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.116533.8%22 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Yes58c61.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes58c61.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.72441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes57c60.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4614254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Yes58c59.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.794427.3%12 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bdf…2f97backed Yes61c59.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed No60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714758.5%86 W · 61 L+15.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Yes31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes59c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.510454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes59c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58660.5%52 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes60c49.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked No41c46.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+72.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Yes60c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed No44c43.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.339658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No69c41.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.927463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203070%21 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9666…2af8backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207958.2%46 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed No43c28.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.186659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a4…e797backed Yes59c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.343060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512843%55 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes58c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c18.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa2…ba3ebacked Yes61c18.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.02580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.