Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x038b87f9d80f65688dac9ff137aee4b0bb8d88ab017b43a72f4e6b47a30f71b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Over | 54c | 21,789$11,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,766.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 10,726$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740.11 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 6,128$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.77 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 5,888$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.74 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 52c | 5,235$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.8 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Over | 1c | 5,085$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Under | 47c | 4,979$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 3,265$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.97 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…aa8dbacked Under | 49c | 2,720$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 2,577$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.58 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 57c | 2,092$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 48c | 2,017$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 37c | 1,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 50c | 1,412$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.89 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 57c | 1,288$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.72 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 1,254$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.75 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…4273backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 52c | 955.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 936.11$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.14 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 55c | 910.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 825$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 18c | 807.38$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.33 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Under | 75c | 803$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 45c | 736.7$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.19 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 17c | 734.47$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 627.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 49c | 562.11$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 434.26$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 380$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…a474backed Under | 46c | 338.07$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 335.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 20c | 333.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 52c | 294$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 31c | 264.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 252$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 21c | 249.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 50c | 237.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 53c | 232.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 71c | 213.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 206.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 73c | 205.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 202.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 53c | 199.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…43d0backed Under | 46c | 184.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…ab3ebacked Over | 54c | 184.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…d6d7backed Over | 54c | 184.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…abb9backed Under | 46c | 184.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 14c | 181.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 56c | 177.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 27c | 175.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 57c | 175.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…dff8backed Over | 54c | 169.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…944fbacked Over | 54c | 169.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Under | 46c | 160.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…df88backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 132.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Over | 54c | 127.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 124.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Over | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 57c | 119.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.