Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c558af4834ba618769082f814a81a8d9a61437d52fcae2d02463b3cf2b6ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 7,340$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 19c | 4,049$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.78 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 2,736$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.67 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 79c | 2,557$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.8 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 2,006$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.47 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 23c | 1,729$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.69 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Over | 70c | 1,510$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Over | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 21c | 947.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 69c | 915.94$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 77c | 880.49$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.87 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 63c | 742.21$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 73c | 648.85$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.31 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 511.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 22c | 458.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Under | 20c | 320$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 19c | 187.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Over | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 76c | 139.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Over | 79c | 139.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 17c | 112.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 72.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 25c | 63.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 64c | 62.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 80c | 57.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 64c | 50.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4e55backed Over | 74c | 47.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 80c | 30.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…5715backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 66c | 23.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 78c | 22.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…d91abacked Over | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Over | 72c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…4fc5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.