Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf261e02d66b8aa324b95bd1f4b4726e0d3653f2081804f8cb7cf5ef1be2e9ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Over | 36c | 8,371$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Under | 79c | 3,798$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.58 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 64c | 2,234$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.31 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 65c | 1,282$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 64c | 1,159$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.24 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 1,028$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.63 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 481.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 22c | 338.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 281.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 20c | 217.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 66c | 174.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Over | 23c | 104.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 92.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 19c | 86.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 22c | 86.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 22c | 86.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 34c | 80.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 73c | 69.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Under | 69c | 49.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 32c | 40.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 76c | 36.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 32c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 33c | 31.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…fbc8backed Under | 68c | 29.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 67c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 68c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 79c | 17.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.