Serie A · resolved market
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2255bf3813735298ec9e00cb126bac1201a9cdc752e5e60ccc6f55366a547160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Genoa CFCof FC Internazionale Milano, Genoa CFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Genoa CFC | 72c | 493.88$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed FC Internazionale Milano | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed FC Internazionale Milano | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Genoa CFC | 74c | 197.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Genoa CFC | 75c | 189.86$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Genoa CFC | 71c | 180.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed FC Internazionale Milano | 26c | 138$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Genoa CFC | 71c | 110.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed FC Internazionale Milano | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed FC Internazionale Milano | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.