TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over56c31,667$17,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,733.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under43c25,000$10,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,249.973348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over57c20,451$11,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,657.332552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c13,823$6,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,664.7440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c13,127$5,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,351.134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over55c12,912$7,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,101.498743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c8,503$3,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.542,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over56c7,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.0120544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over58c6,034$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7404040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over57c2,586$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4749054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da0…3ed5backed Over1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over42c2,040$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.966839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c1,423$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.231,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over32c1,420$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5116838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over20c1,146$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over32c1,122$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6107749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e24…c746backed Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c866.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over57c820$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.44575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over20c818$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.63420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over56c746.47$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c726.91$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Under52c580.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.631020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over58c441.09$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.832161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over31c398.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+77.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x638f…2edcbacked Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c320.47$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.219937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over55c312.73$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over57c305.26$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17413946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over27c299.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c292.88$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over50c290$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over22c262.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.742725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd272…2856backed Over51c235.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.891154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under42c230$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.416851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over52c229$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3211964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Under44c227$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.122661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over48c215.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6611348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.49045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.411655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+41.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeae5…4d0dbacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under55c144.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9116340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.83748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under45c135.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.996245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under49c134$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.979661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.611551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.611154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.612453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.611454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.610952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.611953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under44c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.69240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Under45c117.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Over55c112.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under47c106.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over30c104.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.212254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over41c102.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8615847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x650e…9147backed Over57c101.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5814155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.899440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5834553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over13c93.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.483324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Over57c90.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.862552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under43c80.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+80.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.45950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c74.85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over48c71.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over47c71.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under42c69.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.538242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over52c65.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under52c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.831051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.