Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6b0c551b189bc3e44822a1d95c08f60ef6a6ae7a659019add2cd9b156ed419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,101$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 1,355$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.51 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 14c | 553.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 59c | 480$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 382.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 297.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 270.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 58c | 269.43$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 14c | 196$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 58c | 172.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ca…51a5backed Yes | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed No | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.