CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993b5e620c8751452ee52b3d5e9df68ae8ddfc1712adae0a401ba6237a65f224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCE Academyof Ursa, ENCE Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,810 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked ENCE Academy | 37c | 3,190$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.81 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ENCE Academy | 37c | 1,850$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Ursa | 63c | 1,526$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.5 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ursa | 63c | 1,050$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.11 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Ursa | 63c | 744.37$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.75 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Ursa | 63c | 714$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed ENCE Academy | 32c | 690.69$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.87 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ENCE Academy | 39c | 674.49$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.88 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 62c | 656.26$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked ENCE Academy | 40c | 630.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.62 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…41d6backed Ursa | 6c | 593.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Ursa | 22c | 548.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed ENCE Academy | 38c | 519.22$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.91 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Ursa | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked ENCE Academy | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Ursa | 63c | 432$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed ENCE Academy | 58c | 312.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ENCE Academy | 69c | 308.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Ursa | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ursa | 61c | 220.17$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ursa | 20c | 210.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked ENCE Academy | 39c | 210.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Ursa | 63c | 203.76$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…dd89backed Ursa | 62c | 167.79$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Ursa | 62c | 161.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Ursa | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…8785backed Ursa | 61c | 158$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed ENCE Academy | 45c | 149.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Ursa | 63c | 142.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Ursa | 16c | 122.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked ENCE Academy | 45c | 110.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ENCE Academy | 51c | 100.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…ae36backed Ursa | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ursa | 61c | 95.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed ENCE Academy | 22c | 93.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Ursa | 62c | 91.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ursa | 59c | 90.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…40a3backed Ursa | 60c | 88.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ursa | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ENCE Academy | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Ursa | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Ursa | 64c | 77.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ursa | 61c | 70.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Ursa | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Ursa | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…bb7bbacked ENCE Academy | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Ursa | 39c | 59.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ENCE Academy | 25c | 58.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ENCE Academy | 29c | 57.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed Ursa | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Ursa | 50c | 53.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Ursa | 57c | 49.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed Ursa | 44c | 47.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Ursa | 32c | 47.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed ENCE Academy | 47c | 42.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…ff0ebacked Ursa | 33c | 40.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Ursa | 63c | 40.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Ursa | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked ENCE Academy | 56c | 37.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed ENCE Academy | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked ENCE Academy | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Ursa | 60c | 25.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Ursa | 62c | 25.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Ursa | 62c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ad10backed Ursa | 67c | 22.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed ENCE Academy | 71c | 21.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Ursa | 62c | 20.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed ENCE Academy | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Ursa | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed ENCE Academy | 75c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.