CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e55391cedcbfc1b72cfbff0de84b2bfad531247edf78a6e3c3ff5cf7adb7a0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Just Players, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Just Players | 59c | 7,240$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.11 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…fdfebacked 1WIN | 54c | 3,519$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 1WIN | 53c | 2,431$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.01 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed 1WIN | 32c | 1,110$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.98 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 33c | 1,091$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Just Players | 44c | 1,053$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.68 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed 1WIN | 25c | 1,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1WIN | 36c | 873.69$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.92 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Just Players | 41c | 864$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.93 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Just Players | 43c | 747.16$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.32 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed 1WIN | 40c | 673$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.2 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Just Players | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Just Players | 59c | 635.36$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.56 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Just Players | 58c | 593.62$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.02 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 1WIN | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Just Players | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Just Players | 72c | 465.43$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed 1WIN | 22c | 335.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 1WIN | 56c | 326.59$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked 1WIN | 28c | 301.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed 1WIN | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Just Players | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked 1WIN | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked 1WIN | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Just Players | 45c | 191.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 63c | 190$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Just Players | 57c | 176.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 1WIN | 63c | 174$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 37c | 172.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 1WIN | 44c | 165$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 1WIN | 30c | 164.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked 1WIN | 55c | 148.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Just Players | 41c | 143.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Just Players | 35c | 141.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1WIN | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1WIN | 41c | 134.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed 1WIN | 36c | 126.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Just Players | 79c | 125.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 78cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed 1WIN | 44c | 121.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 1WIN | 54c | 120.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 1WIN | 41c | 111.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed 1WIN | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Just Players | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 1WIN | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked 1WIN | 66c | 84.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Just Players | 72c | 83.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1WIN | 31c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked 1WIN | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Just Players | 50c | 79.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked 1WIN | 38c | 79.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 1WIN | 69c | 79.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed 1WIN | 64c | 79.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 32c | 78.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1WIN | 28c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed 1WIN | 53c | 72.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed 1WIN | 57c | 69.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed 1WIN | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed 1WIN | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed 1WIN | 34c | 44.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Just Players | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Just Players | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Just Players | 67c | 36.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Just Players | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed 1WIN | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked 1WIN | 55c | 26.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked 1WIN | 58c | 25.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Just Players | 45c | 23.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed 1WIN | 49c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked 1WIN | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked 1WIN | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked 1WIN | 52c | 19.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed 1WIN | 62c | 19.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 66c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Just Players | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked 1WIN | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)Just Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.