TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c76…6e88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.34
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.36
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.89
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.34
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.94
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.5
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.75
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.63
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.18
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$11.38
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.97
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.52
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.95
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.19
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.62
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.27
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlinbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.09
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Magdalena Frech vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Mark Lajalbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$2.98
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$7.28
Livesport Prague Open: Maya Joint vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$4.99
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$6.31
Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$5.33
Tampere: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Eero Vasabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hamburg European Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusekbacked Nadia Podoroska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$4.08
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$4.29
Rome: Deborah Chiesa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.04
Athens Open: Alycia Parks vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.02
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$5.64
Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Stefano Travagliabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$6.21
Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$5.24
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42%+$5.04
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$2.83
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$6.66
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)backed Deportivo Toluca FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$3.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$5.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.