NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380b565fd17bd7635302b841f9d879b1d3020dcb3438a76fb741491af5474bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Warriorsof New York Knicks, Golden State Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Knicks | 0c | 10,392$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed New York Knicks | 0c | 9,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…1deabacked New York Knicks | 5c | 6,750$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…f3afbacked New York Knicks | 31c | 3,474$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed New York Knicks | 30c | 3,257$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.85 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Knicks | 16c | 1,664$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.43 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed New York Knicks | 21c | 1,625$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.04 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Golden State Warriors | 79c | 1,431$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Warriors | 69c | 1,406$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.84 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…e427backed Golden State Warriors | 73c | 1,355$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Knicks | 28c | 1,304$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.19 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked New York Knicks | 22c | 1,249$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Knicks | 15c | 1,246$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…244dbacked Golden State Warriors | 72c | 1,218$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Warriors | 69c | 1,150$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.13 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Warriors | 70c | 871.21$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Warriors | 69c | 670.75$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.73 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Golden State Warriors | 77c | 662$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed New York Knicks | 16c | 607.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Golden State Warriors | 69c | 513.63$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed New York Knicks | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Warriors | 79c | 499.06$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Golden State Warriors | 67c | 495$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Knicks | 11c | 433.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed New York Knicks | 31c | 427.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Golden State Warriors | 71c | 407.82$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Golden State Warriors | 69c | 387.22$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked New York Knicks | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…2ee8backed New York Knicks | 18c | 350.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked New York Knicks | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked New York Knicks | 27c | 327$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Golden State Warriors | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Warriors | 69c | 309.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked New York Knicks | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed New York Knicks | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Golden State Warriors | 69c | 280.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Golden State Warriors | 73c | 270.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked New York Knicks | 20c | 251.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Golden State Warriors | 77c | 230$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked New York Knicks | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed New York Knicks | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed New York Knicks | 28c | 194.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked New York Knicks | 27c | 183.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed New York Knicks | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked Golden State Warriors | 67c | 160.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked New York Knicks | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Golden State Warriors | 73c | 137.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked New York Knicks | 20c | 132.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Golden State Warriors | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked New York Knicks | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Knicks | 29c | 122.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Knicks | 19c | 112.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked New York Knicks | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed New York Knicks | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed New York Knicks | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Golden State Warriors | 71c | 99.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed New York Knicks | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Golden State Warriors | 72c | 68.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Golden State Warriors | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Golden State Warriors | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed New York Knicks | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed New York Knicks | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Golden State Warriors | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4037…143bbacked New York Knicks | 33c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Golden State Warriors | 68c | 37.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Golden State Warriors | 68c | 35.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Golden State Warriors | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed New York Knicks | 29c | 34.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e68…2f35backed Golden State Warriors | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Golden State Warriors | 72c | 32.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…5922backed Golden State Warriors | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Golden State Warriors | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed Golden State Warriors | 80c | 26.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…d985backed New York Knicks | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Golden State Warriors | 80c | 21.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…f20ebacked Golden State Warriors | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Golden State Warriors | 70c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Golden State Warriors | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Golden State Warriors | 70c | 14.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed Golden State Warriors | 80c | 12.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.