CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x084d7a1cf06520b0db8be277dcdeb59c43d2afb536e82a06cee189acc4697fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked ex-RUSTEC | 17c | 2,771$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.47 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUSTEC | 27c | 1,233$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.02 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 1,139$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.33 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 713.25$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.86 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUSTEC | 27c | 617.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 557.61$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.15 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 529.32$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 35c | 522.24$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC | 33c | 384.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 256.06$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 187.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 153.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 149.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 149.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 133.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 32c | 130.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 125$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed ex-RUSTEC | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 104.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…a2fabacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 103.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed ex-RUSTEC | 37c | 81.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 78.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…87c5backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 77.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…5becbacked ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 72.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 71.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 64.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 61.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed ex-RUSTEC | 20c | 57.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed ex-RUSTEC | 29c | 56.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 55.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 27.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 22.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.