Tennis · resolved market
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Mark Lajal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e30a745886d4847665a42987a9c543ecf6add392f61b8477618b104330fea7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Mark Lajal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Mark Lajal | 15c | 197,204$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 12,702$9,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.5 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Mark Lajal | 16c | 7,921$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…4a5cbacked Alex Michelsen | 75c | 6,471$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Mark Lajal | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 2,569$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.68 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Mark Lajal | 25c | 2,157$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.09 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Mark Lajal | 25c | 2,098$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.53 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Mark Lajal | 10c | 2,074$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Mark Lajal | 13c | 2,062$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.34 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 1,852$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.69 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Michelsen | 76c | 1,536$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.05 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alex Michelsen | 79c | 1,271$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b26ebacked Mark Lajal | 8c | 1,185$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mark Lajal | 25c | 1,182$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.2 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Mark Lajal | 11c | 1,026$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Mark Lajal | 25c | 999.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Mark Lajal | 15c | 908.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mark Lajal | 13c | 784$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 750.92$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.73 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Mark Lajal | 26c | 750.15$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mark Lajal | 18c | 724.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Mark Lajal | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Mark Lajal | 16c | 617.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Mark Lajal | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 41.8%256 W · 357 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Mark Lajal | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Mark Lajal | 12c | 492.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 497 | 40.6%202 W · 295 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Mark Lajal | 14c | 473$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Mark Lajal | 25c | 455.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 332 | 34%113 W · 219 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Mark Lajal | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Mark Lajal | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 716 | 21.1%151 W · 565 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…058ebacked Mark Lajal | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mark Lajal | 25c | 332$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 375 | 44.3%166 W · 209 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Mark Lajal | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 950 | 47.7%453 W · 497 L | +34.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Mark Lajal | 9c | 274$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mark Lajal | 15c | 273.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Alex Michelsen | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Mark Lajal | 14c | 225.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Mark Lajal | 26c | 211$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 208.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 192.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Mark Lajal | 26c | 185.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…2e68backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 175.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Mark Lajal | 25c | 158.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Mark Lajal | 23c | 147.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…128abacked Alex Michelsen | 75c | 146.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 147 | 70.7%104 W · 43 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 137.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Alex Michelsen | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 109 | 68.8%75 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Alex Michelsen | 75c | 132.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 130.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Mark Lajal | 28c | 127.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Alex Michelsen | 77c | 125.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 208 | 65.9%137 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Mark Lajal | 13c | 112.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alex Michelsen | 75c | 101.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Mark Lajal | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 39.9%99 W · 149 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 729 | 57.3%418 W · 311 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked Alex Michelsen | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Mark Lajal | 25c | 90.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…d404backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mark Lajal | 24c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Alex Michelsen | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Mark Lajal | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 66.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Mark Lajal | 21c | 60.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 53.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Mark Lajal | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Alex Michelsen | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Mark Lajal | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…2c9bbacked Alex Michelsen | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 23.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…7900backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed Alex Michelsen | 80c | 14.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…daf4backed Alex Michelsen | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Mark Lajalthis page
- Michelsen vs. Lajal: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.