MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0906e3b534d694530229f68a4b7a59e611873dab2b4aa8a2728d7e42a3ff59f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 111,111$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,999.92 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 31,618$14,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,073.86 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Over | 46c | 27,814$12,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,019.49 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 27,621$12,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,878.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 12,045$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,504.21 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 9,501$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 5,456$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Over | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 29c | 2,066$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 28c | 1,699$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.82 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Under | 53c | 1,601$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.36 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 1,332$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.23 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 56c | 1,135$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 1,134$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Under | 55c | 1,089$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.84 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 28c | 943.71$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.24 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 65c | 779.38$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 45c | 725.91$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.25 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 703.95$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 643.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.32 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 627$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Over | 61c | 598.49$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.41 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 502$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 61c | 487.33$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.66 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Under | 55c | 410$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 28c | 392.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 380$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…47cebacked Under | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 343.02$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 42c | 281.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 269$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 250.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 247.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 48c | 211.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…293fbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 39c | 176.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 55c | 149.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 55c | 138.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 51c | 114.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 68c | 114.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Over | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 97.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Under | 54c | 96.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 46c | 89.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 57c | 88.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 55c | 81.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 41c | 72.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 28c | 65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Under | 50c | 54.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 50.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 29c | 42.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 55c | 37.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 55c | 36.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed Over | 60c | 34.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 34.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 47c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 46c | 23.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Under | 54c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 54c | 22.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh PiratesArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 15.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.