TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under54c111,111$60,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,999.921,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over46c31,618$14,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,073.864,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked Over46c27,814$12,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,019.494645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c27,621$12,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,878.974,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c12,045$5,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,504.211,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c9,501$4,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,128.3911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over46c5,456$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.553,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Over72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under29c2,066$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under28c1,699$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.821,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b20…3ab0backed Under53c1,601$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.365851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7955,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79523357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79573748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over47c1,332$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.231,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under56c1,135$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c1,134$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.478,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59475248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Under55c1,089$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.848551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under28c943.71$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2473949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over65c779.38$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.042,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Over45c725.91$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.2526054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c703.95$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38523758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c643.19$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.321,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c627$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.311,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Over61c598.49$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.416055%33 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over46c502$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0845445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under61c487.33$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.661,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Under54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Under55c410$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.59950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under28c392.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.941,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.21,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea12…47cebacked Under55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c343.02$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.496,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c320$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.058,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under42c281.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.884,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over46c269$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.261,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over44c250.02$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over46c247.92$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.362,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e56…a7f6backed Under54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Over48c211.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.767243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10823052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.28643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017952.5%94 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b0…293fbacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under39c176.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.924,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Over47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.574047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under55c149.64$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.348851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under55c138.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0846152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Over51c114.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2813148.9%64 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under68c114.29$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.531,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed Over46c108$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518556.2%104 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5477050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over49c97.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.475,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Under54c96.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.217557.1%100 W · 75 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019454.6%106 W · 88 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Under55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over46c89.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5529250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Over57c88.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2418272%131 W · 51 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under55c81.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4528553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under55c72.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under41c72.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over28c65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under54c59.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Under50c54.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722257.7%128 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over46c50.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1840341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512555.2%69 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over29c42.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.147446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Under55c37.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5624149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0477…631cbacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017155.6%95 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e2…af02backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013850.7%70 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under55c36.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1911852.5%62 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c76…6e88backed Over60c34.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.753177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under54c34.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.482,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under53c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.998,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over61c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.892,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over47c24.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9513151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over46c23.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.771,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Under54c23.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.465954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under54c22.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9242448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.