MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41120a831873d197745706473bea56ce14de106799e8b79e10726c313121b369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 12c | 37,788$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.88 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 33,644$16,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,158.52 | 772 | 53.9%416 W · 356 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 27,800$22,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,115.92 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd6…c61ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 18,039$9,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,865.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 15,081$7,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392.31 | 450 | 55.1%248 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 14,889$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046.57 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 14,815$6,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,843.29 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 14,650$7,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,471.38 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 13,450$4,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,684.3 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 12,892$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.5 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 12,188$5,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,262.16 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 10,567$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.95 | 1,019 | 44.7%455 W · 564 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 1,088 | 48.3%525 W · 563 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 10,000$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 510 | 52.5%268 W · 242 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 9,546$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.42 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 9,281$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.12 | 181 | 53%96 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 8,568$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.26 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…0061backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 7,273$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 6,469$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.06 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 6,296$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.25 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 5,984$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.25 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 5,351$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…f63ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 5,350$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 4,708$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.83 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 4,450$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.5 | 720 | 53.3%384 W · 336 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 4,256$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.54 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 3,196$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.24 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,736$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.5 | 883 | 48%424 W · 459 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 2,480$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 2,246$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 2,205$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 2,088$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.78 | 2,077 | 39.3%817 W · 1,260 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,007$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.92 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,968$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 1,872$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.26 | 1,975 | 41.3%815 W · 1,160 L | -27.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,744$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,476$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.43 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,452$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.49 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -13.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 1,448$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.26 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 1,433$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,372$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.09 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,302$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.94 | 529 | 50.3%266 W · 263 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,300$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.73 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 1,229$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,224$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.16 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,135$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.28 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,091$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.42 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 941$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.91 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 815$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.56 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 784.18$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.26 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 762.67$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.66 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 761$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.18 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 696.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 3,467 | 51.2%1,775 W · 1,692 L | +105.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 695.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…5323backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 687.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 647.9$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 639.18$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.18 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 624.57$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.34 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 619.19$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.13 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 616.65$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.48 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…bf18backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 602.63$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe908…c1fdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 599.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 587.39$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 350 | 50.9%178 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 553.37$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 548.12$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 634 | 43.5%276 W · 358 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 529.61$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 518.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 480.41$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 472.18$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 818 | 57.1%467 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd545…7d3bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 463$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…d91bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 462$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 437.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.33 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 432.29$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 101 | 71.3%72 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 418.12$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 409.94$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 406.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 401.24$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 380.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +27.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 367.41$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 359.29$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.24 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 352.64$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 4,555 | 49.2%2,239 W · 2,316 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 285 | 30.9%88 W · 197 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 347.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 331.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 303.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 5,240 | 56.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L | +130.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 301.72$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 294.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 633 | 47.1%298 W · 335 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 294.56$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.13 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 289.16$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 2,200 | 40.2%884 W · 1,316 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 275.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 273.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 15.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.