TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tampere: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Eero Vasa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eero Vasaof Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, Eero Vasa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo30c11,512$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,431.658,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eero Vasa76c4,373$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.1911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Eero Vasa47c2,194$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.724,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Eero Vasa32c2,098$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.9617323.7%41 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Eero Vasa65c767.68$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6957950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Eero Vasa19c759$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.0622033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo32c629.96$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.398,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo65c509.27$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.448,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x220f…0b32backed Eero Vasa19c505.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.322045%9 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo47c498.08$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.712,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo38c484.11$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.986,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Eero Vasa23c407.12$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6850442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Eero Vasa20c403.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.7127724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Eero Vasa22c375.25$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3690152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo78c344.95$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.063,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Eero Vasa55c306.38$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.491,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo69c281.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6822245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Eero Vasa74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2735164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo41c245$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.295,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo65c230.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9920360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Eero Vasa35c215$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7529151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Eero Vasa20c213.89$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.71,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo36c210.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3382958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo41c210$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.524,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Eero Vasa48c208.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7744751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Eero Vasa19c205.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.245,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo45c201.33$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.163,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Eero Vasa33c196.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.862,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Eero Vasa54c163$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.983,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo78c144$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.741,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo80c125.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo36c109.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.136,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo70c106.8$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.764,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eero Vasa20c104.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.093,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…f871backed Eero Vasa22c104.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.266251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.861152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Eero Vasa45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.271,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Eero Vasa20c99.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9911218.8%21 W · 91 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Eero Vasa21c95.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8414036.4%51 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo40c88.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.265,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c83.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.331,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Eero Vasa35c77.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.142,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed Eero Vasa65c75.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.381136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo61c74.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo80c73.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.991,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo48c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.923442.7%100 W · 134 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Eero Vasa61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo66c59.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.888456%47 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo19c57.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.085834.5%20 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Eero Vasa21c57.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.281,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo55c54.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0157845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Eero Vasa35c49.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1194058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo80c48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eero Vasa62c47.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.836,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Eero Vasa54c45.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.023,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo39c38.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Eero Vasa65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.461,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo37c36.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.663650%18 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo80c35.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2755941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo44c34.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0162549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Eero Vasa73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1847857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Eero Vasa72c33.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.192,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00c…4820backed Eero Vasa39c33.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.265827.6%16 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…69a5backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo65c32.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0621555.8%120 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked Eero Vasa61c26.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.617661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo57c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7112767.7%86 W · 41 L+15.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo80c25.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.320570.7%145 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo63c23.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6950268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6847…f1eabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo79c23.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2113770.1%96 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo67c22.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo49c21.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5235555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb37…189abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021451.9%111 W · 103 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252157%297 W · 224 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Eero Vasa75c16.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.27554.7%41 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c76…6e88backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992356.5%13 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219064.7%123 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.