Tennis · resolved market
Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Hayato Matsuoka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a26eb2a7b62b23784b7b2608ccef9fb328259237b74a43c3d04162416481f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colton Smithof Colton Smith, Hayato Matsuoka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Hayato Matsuoka | 33c | 57,692$19,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,175.97 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Colton Smith | 67c | 43,644$29,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,402.08 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hayato Matsuoka | 17c | 7,632$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.87 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Colton Smith | 72c | 4,146$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.89 | 316 | 53.2%168 W · 148 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Colton Smith | 75c | 2,856$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.83 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…0bf5backed Hayato Matsuoka | 11c | 2,187$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.05 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Colton Smith | 24c | 2,000$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.03 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hayato Matsuoka | 19c | 1,982$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.63 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Hayato Matsuoka | 19c | 1,981$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.4 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 77c | 1,941$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.73 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 11c | 1,740$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hayato Matsuoka | 16c | 1,706$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…9bacbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 21c | 1,436$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Hayato Matsuoka | 22c | 1,346$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colton Smith | 78c | 1,305$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.37 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 19c | 1,207$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Colton Smith | 74c | 1,200$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.39 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hayato Matsuoka | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Colton Smith | 70c | 997$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.65 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Hayato Matsuoka | 17c | 861.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…2e23backed Hayato Matsuoka | 23c | 818.91$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hayato Matsuoka | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 5c | 787$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Hayato Matsuoka | 10c | 776.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 415 | 35.4%147 W · 268 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hayato Matsuoka | 11c | 730.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 9c | 687.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Colton Smith | 78c | 637.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 9c | 554.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Hayato Matsuoka | 23c | 483$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 280 | 31.8%89 W · 191 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…8159backed Hayato Matsuoka | 29c | 459.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 432$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 19c | 430.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 13c | 417.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hayato Matsuoka | 20c | 408.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Colton Smith | 79c | 380.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…df40backed Hayato Matsuoka | 7c | 379.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Colton Smith | 79c | 257.59$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Colton Smith | 77c | 252.66$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Hayato Matsuoka | 19c | 248.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Hayato Matsuoka | 20c | 202.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Colton Smith | 78c | 201.81$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Colton Smith | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Hayato Matsuoka | 29c | 198.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 248 | 39.9%99 W · 149 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…99d8backed Hayato Matsuoka | 17c | 186.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Hayato Matsuoka | 10c | 185.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…1179backed Hayato Matsuoka | 28c | 173.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Colton Smith | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Hayato Matsuoka | 9c | 139.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 156 | 30.1%47 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Colton Smith | 78c | 136.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Hayato Matsuoka | 19c | 126.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Hayato Matsuoka | 19c | 122.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Hayato Matsuoka | 21c | 115.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hayato Matsuoka | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Colton Smith | 71c | 97.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 21c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 73.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 24c | 69.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Hayato Matsuoka | 28c | 68.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…cd83backed Hayato Matsuoka | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 220 | 46.8%103 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Hayato Matsuoka | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Colton Smith | 80c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 28c | 56.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Colton Smith | 71c | 55.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hayato Matsuoka | 25c | 55.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Hayato Matsuoka | 25c | 52.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Colton Smith | 75c | 51.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 26c | 51.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Hayato Matsuoka | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7cf8backed Colton Smith | 75c | 49.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Colton Smith | 77c | 45.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Hayato Matsuoka | 23c | 43.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Colton Smith | 79c | 43.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hayato Matsuoka | 29c | 42.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Colton Smith | 73c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 25c | 41.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…632abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 26c | 40.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Colton Smith | 73c | 39.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Colton Smith | 76c | 39.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 590 | 50.5%298 W · 292 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 178 | 60.1%107 W · 71 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…38febacked Colton Smith | 79c | 38.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Colton Smith | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Colton Smith | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Colton Smith | 78c | 34.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Colton Smith | 79c | 30.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Colton Smith | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Colton Smith | 79c | 27.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Colton Smith | 68c | 26.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Colton Smith | 80c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 207 | 71%147 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Colton Smith | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed Colton Smith | 75c | 21.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Colton Smith | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…4f34backed Colton Smith | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Colton Smith | 79c | 16.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.