CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46412c007996f19254f287dee53e2138c90f6a72c7066bddda713ddeff301c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Black Phoenix, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Misa Esports | 63c | 3,063$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.14 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 3,049$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.66 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 2,006$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Misa Esports | 39c | 2,000$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.79 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 59c | 1,309$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.05 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 1,295$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 1,139$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.21 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 843.9$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.99 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Misa Esports | 42c | 750$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.11 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Black Phoenix | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 44c | 699.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.22 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 53c | 564.38$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Misa Esports | 42c | 523.59$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.48 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Misa Esports | 32c | 470$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.6 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 461.11$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Black Phoenix | 52c | 440$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 439.02$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 261.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Misa Esports | 34c | 220$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Misa Esports | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Black Phoenix | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 177.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Black Phoenix | 59c | 176.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Misa Esports | 54c | 149.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 46c | 146.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Misa Esports | 63c | 120.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Misa Esports | 58c | 109.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 107.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Misa Esports | 62c | 104$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Misa Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…5fb8backed Misa Esports | 66c | 97.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Black Phoenix | 15c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Misa Esports | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Misa Esports | 54c | 75.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Black Phoenix | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix | 16c | 65.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Misa Esports | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Misa Esports | 71c | 60.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Black Phoenix | 42c | 55.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Misa Esports | 32c | 45.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 39.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6744backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Black Phoenix | 33c | 33.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Misa Esports | 32c | 31.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Misa Esports | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Black Phoenix | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Black Phoenix | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.