CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee91513d74b9d19c7cfbaab80588f48fe08f210930841d3f019f88dc2bebea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Black Phoenix, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 22,353$10,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,069.5 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Misa Esports | 46c | 7,169$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.53 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Misa Esports | 70c | 5,492$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.25 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 3,669$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.64 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Misa Esports | 45c | 3,640$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.63 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Misa Esports | 77c | 3,445$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.07 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 2,406$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.46 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Misa Esports | 51c | 1,950$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.21 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 1,568$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.09 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Misa Esports | 34c | 1,532$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.62 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Black Phoenix | 59c | 1,391$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.52 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Black Phoenix | 37c | 1,374$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.41 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 1,349$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.07 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 1,189$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.76 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 42c | 1,156$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.74 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Misa Esports | 46c | 1,116$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.49 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 56c | 1,098$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.37 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…2c72backed Misa Esports | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 42c | 1,038$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Misa Esports | 80c | 1,038$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 987.12$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.5 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 939.5$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.98 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Misa Esports | 36c | 919.83$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.39 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 913.56$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.37 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 900$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.63 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 890.08$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Black Phoenix | 35c | 868.09$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.68 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 808$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 794.21$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.93 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 788.03$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Misa Esports | 46c | 750$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Misa Esports | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7d5fbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 683.27$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +167.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Misa Esports | 35c | 660$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 391 | 45.8%179 W · 212 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Misa Esports | 53c | 633.32$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Misa Esports | 35c | 632.62$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 34c | 528$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Black Phoenix | 34c | 509.53$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Misa Esports | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Black Phoenix | 64c | 482.81$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Black Phoenix | 43c | 473$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed Misa Esports | 51c | 464.71$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Black Phoenix | 64c | 458.74$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 447.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.74 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 420$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Misa Esports | 59c | 408.37$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Black Phoenix | 27c | 408$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Misa Esports | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Misa Esports | 19c | 394$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 389.62$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 120 | 71.7%86 W · 34 L | +16.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Misa Esports | 74c | 377.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…47c8backed Misa Esports | 70c | 337.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 327.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Black Phoenix | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Black Phoenix | 44c | 295.45$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Misa Esports | 69c | 292.48$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports | 40c | 281.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 274.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Black Phoenix | 46c | 272.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…a8a7backed Misa Esports | 41c | 268.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Misa Esports | 44c | 265.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Misa Esports | 61c | 265.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 583 | 45.3%264 W · 319 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Misa Esports | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 216 | 50%108 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Misa Esports | 61c | 227.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 58c | 224.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Misa Esports | 55c | 223.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Misa Esports | 17c | 223.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.53 | 158 | 31%49 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Misa Esports | 74c | 216.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Black Phoenix | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Black Phoenix | 56c | 198.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 193.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…cc54backed Misa Esports | 64c | 191.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Black Phoenix | 63c | 191$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 402 | 66.2%266 W · 136 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 60c | 189.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Black Phoenix | 67c | 187.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 182.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 258 | 48.8%126 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 182.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Misa Esports | 53c | 178.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Misa Esports | 19c | 165.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 164.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Black Phoenix | 67c | 159.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 321 | 58.3%187 W · 134 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Black Phoenix | 41c | 157.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Black Phoenix | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Black Phoenix | 64c | 154$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…22febacked Misa Esports | 77c | 146.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Misa Esports | 74c | 145.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Misa Esports | 36c | 142$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…66d7backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 134.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 125.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 39c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 39c | 122$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 118.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Black Phoenix | 57c | 117.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.