MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f00d2d25e71787e01aef6cf22ea5eb172ad86429bb15352a543ede3246cad68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 58c | 101,547$58,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,868 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 42c | 46,225$19,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,414.59 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 36c | 19,442$6,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,903.64 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 40c | 13,408$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,413.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 13,047$8,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 5,539$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 57c | 5,098$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.27 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 4,921$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 4,659$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.64 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 4,500$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…d2f0backed Under | 68c | 2,899$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 58c | 1,867$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.99 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 42c | 1,814$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.73 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 28c | 1,569$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.63 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 43c | 1,255$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.97 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 1,223$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 72c | 1,214$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 42c | 1,195$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.07 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 1,186$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 1,102$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.14 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 975$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.35 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 43c | 882.98$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.86 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 44c | 865.6$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.86 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 30c | 579.66$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 547.54$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.69 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 505.58$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 43c | 505$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.15 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 43c | 462.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 74c | 430.8$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 417$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 417$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 4c | 405.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 331$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 43c | 280.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 44c | 274.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 44c | 264.56$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 42c | 200.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 42c | 179.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 43c | 176.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 43c | 137.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 133$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 34c | 130.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 71c | 118.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 43c | 115.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Over | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 86.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 40c | 84.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 28c | 81.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 78.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 40c | 76.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Under | 58c | 76.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 42c | 76.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 43c | 71.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 39c | 62.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Over | 30c | 61.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 29c | 60.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 40c | 60.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 31c | 55.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 50.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 40c | 50.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 43c | 50.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 56c | 36.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 44c | 34.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 57c | 32.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…f703backed Under | 58c | 30.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Over | 43c | 30.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Under | 71c | 30.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 42c | 30.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 44c | 28.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 44c | 25.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 44c | 25.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Under | 57c | 24.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…6a99backed Under | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Under | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 70 | 80%56 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed Under | 75c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.