TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c11,886$5,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,242.838,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under56c10,000$5,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,413.0598149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed Under60c6,614$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.862962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over34c5,378$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.524,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c4,363$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.9310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over43c3,831$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.4485645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under60c3,234$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.478648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c2,371$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.26,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c1,996$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.2512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over35c1,795$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.358,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over35c1,115$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.893,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,021$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.2968053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over38c937.23$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.882,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over43c870.13$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0555645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under59c658.28$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2811560.9%70 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7113461.9%83 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25048851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under47c412.87$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.588,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over53c380.38$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.62133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under59c364$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2479442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c346.22$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.462,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c330.38$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over33c287.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.689,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over53c283$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9946152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.244949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over49c203.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0153655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under48c184.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.941,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over50c180.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9946255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over51c158.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0122450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over35c141.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7044245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under47c134.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4214328.7%41 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Over57c120.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.21723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Over35c117.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3711153.2%59 W · 52 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over30c115.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.641,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Under50c108.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0313148.9%64 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over51c103.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.728553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c102.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.332,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018e…c536backed Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over53c86.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4622248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201e…1a3bbacked Over22c85.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.852744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over30c80.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Under53c75.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7620657.8%119 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over35c75.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.222,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over35c66.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.232,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over30c64.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2373949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under48c62.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over52c59.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8617253.5%92 W · 80 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Over37c58.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.515621.4%12 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023357.5%134 W · 99 L+22.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under47c53.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1410157.4%58 W · 43 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under51c51.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0131258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c44.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.855,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a6…6da5backed Under51c42.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be5…9b90backed Over51c42.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c52…8b7cbacked Under51c42.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c9…2aa7backed Over51c42.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcb…65fcbacked Over49c42.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.711852.5%62 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f7…680bbacked Over50c39.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.894843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed Over43c39.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.073638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Over30c38.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5411751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2073243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Over40c37.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.915442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under47c35.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9855448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over50c35.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6c…1a3cbacked Over38c35.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Over36c34.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.640753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c34.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.113,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Under64c31.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.363647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.614047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over53c26.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.049755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Under47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7212140.5%49 W · 72 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under46c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.041,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.