TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Rangersof Tampa Bay Rays, Texas Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c18,665$8,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.466758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays46c18,418$8,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,394.074,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers55c17,804$9,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,008.934,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers53c16,164$8,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,561.3811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays48c5,357$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.0810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb939…da70backed Tampa Bay Rays41c3,637$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.23046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays43c3,624$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.851,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers60c3,230$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.2912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers54c2,974$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.762,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers64c2,596$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.354,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Texas Rangers60c1,533$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61371650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Texas Rangers64c1,270$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.512,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers56c1,173$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.572,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays38c1,129$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.171,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers52c1,106$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.78,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers62c1,104$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.712,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Texas Rangers69c1,057$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.482,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers59c1,035$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.926,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Tampa Bay Rays45c777.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Texas Rangers60c766.25$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.539953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Texas Rangers58c762.6$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.971,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Texas Rangers61c753.69$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9438551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers60c749.44$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.781,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c692.65$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8412253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays44c475.8$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3520138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Texas Rangers57c459.25$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8148851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Rangers51c440.12$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.163,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb464…cd5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays38c389.16$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.881,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Texas Rangers63c326.78$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Texas Rangers58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12643954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Texas Rangers57c299.98$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9999447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Texas Rangers50c298.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6846152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Texas Rangers56c290$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.61,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Texas Rangers60c276$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7854642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Texas Rangers66c259.62$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.081,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays39c255.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.823,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tampa Bay Rays46c236.17$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.641,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x795b…a25cbacked Tampa Bay Rays41c234.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.21540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Tampa Bay Rays43c190$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.717348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Texas Rangers58c178.85$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8553655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays44c165.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.819,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays40c155.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.862,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Texas Rangers39c133.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Texas Rangers66c132.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5755259.6%329 W · 223 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Texas Rangers58c128.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6946255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Tampa Bay Rays18c125.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf029…b1c7backed Tampa Bay Rays45c119.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays32c114.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.178,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04dc…997ebacked Tampa Bay Rays42c113.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Texas Rangers58c111.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0622450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Texas Rangers63c111.05$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5773355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Texas Rangers63c111.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5647056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Tampa Bay Rays48c101.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7128749.5%142 W · 145 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Tampa Bay Rays48c97.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6655448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Texas Rangers57c87.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.715149%25 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Texas Rangers55c87.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8228553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers56c84.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.768,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Tampa Bay Rays43c78.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8773949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers59c78.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.145,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Tampa Bay Rays43c71.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8617253.5%92 W · 80 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Tampa Bay Rays43c71.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.782,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Texas Rangers61c68.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7121152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Texas Rangers61c65.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.423,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Tampa Bay Rays45c63.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5797944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c54.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.399246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Texas Rangers56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5723357.5%134 W · 99 L+22.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays35c53.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.835,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Texas Rangers51c50.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6211153.2%59 W · 52 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Texas Rangers61c45.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9120654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Texas Rangers62c45.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1955645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Tampa Bay Rays45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ede…e99cbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Texas Rangers61c43.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.211,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Texas Rangers55c38.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Tampa Bay Rays43c37.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.221,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Texas Rangers56c37.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb323…e253backed Texas Rangers57c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.836155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Texas Rangers75c32.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1252750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e6c…1a3cbacked Tampa Bay Rays46c32.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.891450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Texas Rangers79c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7213554.8%74 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Texas Rangers71c31.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Tampa Bay Rays45c30.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7340048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Texas Rangers58c30.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.868350.6%42 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Texas Rangers57c28.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.076660.6%40 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Texas Rangers61c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0414047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays39c27.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.542,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.514,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c24.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119147.6%91 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Texas Rangers64c23.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5920362.6%127 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Texas Rangers52c22.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9340753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed Texas Rangers75c20.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3212857%73 W · 55 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.