La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa631b54753f8e580ca2e1d0cf31c0a06b961d5ea41c026c09d5f7093a54656f0

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,461 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over	13c	3,164$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+6.8wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	2,852$2,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.98	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over	43c	1,555$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.65	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	57c	1,269$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.47	501	49.5%248 W · 253 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Under	60c	1,167$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.67	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over	37c	1,048$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.85	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over	42c	1,012$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	193	44.6%86 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under	59c	999.99$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.99	55	63.6%35 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Over	40c	910.61$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	41c	897.01$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.77	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under	60c	833.33$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	95	64.2%61 W · 34 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under	73c	750$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.5	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over	42c	714.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	60	61.7%37 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	15c	666$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	138	24.6%34 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	58c	574.55$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.31	428	51.4%220 W · 208 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	40c	528.68$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.47	504	49.8%251 W · 253 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under	60c	485$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194	201	48.8%98 W · 103 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	58c	351.38$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.72	2,343	48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…5b38backed Under	60c	349.34$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb65…99a0backed Over	41c	349.14$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bda…45a7backed Under	60c	349.03$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe88…1656backed Over	41c	344.97$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13bb…a36cbacked Under	60c	325.22$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.22	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	66cpaid	+36%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	9c	269.01$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	1,508	38.7%583 W · 925 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	58c	242$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.64	351	48.4%170 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	60c	240.69$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.28	908	43.6%396 W · 512 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	58c	210.39$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.36	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	34	70.6%24 W · 10 L	+4.6wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Over	40c	195.88$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.8	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under	59c	188$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.08	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over	17c	170$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	76	25%19 W · 57 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over	40c	150$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over	41c	146.34$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under	77c	141.79$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.35	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	340	50%170 W · 170 L	+16.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	41c	121.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	321	45.8%147 W · 174 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Over	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	16.3%17 W · 87 L	-10.2wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Over	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	31.2%29 W · 64 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	39c	111.53$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.22	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500d…f2a5backed Under	62c	101.61$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ed…fd28backed Over	41c	100.07$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a4…b920backed Over	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	627	44.3%278 W · 349 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	22c	94.79$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	39c	85$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under	78c	72.59$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.97	288	47.6%137 W · 151 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Over	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over	36c	66.92$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	492	28.9%142 W · 350 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	152	46.1%70 W · 82 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	65c	58.67$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	195	44.1%86 W · 109 L	+13.7wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0568…d5a7backed Over	40c	54.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-63%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	59c	50.85$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	208	57.7%120 W · 88 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over	42c	50.76$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf10…557ebacked Over	40c	50.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24a…5327backed Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Over	42c	43.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over	41c	35.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	276	53.6%148 W · 128 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c33…a66bbacked Over	42c	35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over	42c	34.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.39	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…9b64backed Under	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc078…f854backed Over	41c	26.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	47cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over	42c	26.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	324	44.8%145 W · 179 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	284	46.5%132 W · 152 L	-16.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	59c	19.49$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.99	227	46.7%106 W · 121 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	76c	15.86$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.85	278	50%139 W · 139 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5this page
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Levante UD won
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Levante UD won
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Levante UD won
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event