La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71c2cae698fa520a2ba3a531cefe3c2cd269ea7c4e8bc1735f5adaeb208c99ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 20c | 2,135$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.09 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 17c | 941.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 80c | 687.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 560.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 21c | 238.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Under | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Under | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Under | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Under | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 67.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 80c | 39.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 80c | 15.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 80c | 12.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.